Best Bird App

I love the Merlin ID app by Cornell Lab.

Everyone can make out a mallard or spot a majestic eagle, but this chirp identifier lets you identify all the smaller or lesser know creatures perched in your backyard foliage.

Just tap on the green arrow, and a recording starts. Every time a song is picked up, the bird ID flashes below.

Then you can replay the recordings to become familiar with all the different calls.

Another free educational service brought to you through new technology and the drive for data.

The Cascade Effect: Unlocking Housing Affordability

Housing markets often seem mysterious, but at their core they operate as a cascading system shaped by wealth, supply, and lending rules. A recent model by Abramson and Landvoigt highlights how rising wealth inequality and slow housing supply interact to push prices upward. Their framework divides housing into quality tiers, from luxury to starter units, and shows how households with different levels of wealth compete across these tiers.

A central insight is that prices at the very top do not stay isolated. Luxury buyers are a small share of the market, and in some sense they simply bid against one another for exclusivity. One might argue that they are โ€œfoolsโ€ for paying such large premiums, while the rest of the market should remain relatively affordable. But in practice the tiers are linked. When supply of luxury units is restricted, affluent households who cannot find space at the top tier shift down into the next-best homes. That displacement triggers a chain reaction: middle-income households face stiffer competition, prices at their tier rise, and the pressure filters all the way down to lower-income renters. Economists call this the filtering or musical chairs effect, and it means that adding supply at the high end can improve affordability across the board.

This cascading dynamic is exactly what makes the market work. New supply at any tier frees up units that can be occupied by someone else, allowing households to sort themselves according to means and preferences. The danger arises when either end of the ladder is blocked. If new high-end supply is not built, the wealthy bid down-market and crowd out others. If older or more affordable stock is neglected, the bottom rungs collapse and low-income households are left without viable options.

At the same time, credit standards shape who can actually buy. A household that cannot afford the payments will not receive a loan, which protects individuals from becoming dangerously over-leveraged. But this underwriting filter does not stop prices from rising overall; it only determines who gets excluded. The clearing price is still set by those wealthier households who can obtain financing. Those priced out of ownership often remain in the rental sector, where demand pressures drive rents upward as well.

Taken together, the picture is less about a simple split between the rich and poor and more about a tightly connected cascade. Housing affordability depends not only on overall supply but also on how well each rung of the ladder is maintained and allowed to expand.

The associational role- Tolstoy Edition

Pierre explains to the Freemasons.

“The whole plan of our order should be founded on the training of men of character and virtue, bound together by unity of conviction and aim,โ€” the aim of suppressing vice and folly everywhere by every means, and protecting talent and virtue, raising deserving persons out of the dust and enrolling them in our brotherhoodโ€ฆ.โ€

The Reality of Minnesota’s Housing Market: Data Over Drama

Is affordability really an issue?

The narrative of a housing affordability crisis in Minnesota deserves scrutiny when examined against the actual data. The numbers tell a remarkably different story than the one often presented in policy discussions and media coverage.

The fundamental reality is this: 99.82% of Minnesotans are housed. With approximately 5.7 million residents and only 10,522 experiencing homelessness according to the most recent Minnesota Homeless Study, the state has achieved what many would consider a housing success story. This isn’t a marginal victoryโ€”it represents one of the most successful housing outcomes in the nation.

Supply Meeting Demand

Perhaps even more telling is the relationship between housing supply and population growth. Over the past five years, Minnesota’s housing stock increased by 3.87% while the adult population grew by 3.90%. This near-perfect alignment suggests that new construction is effectively matching new resident demandโ€”a fundamental indicator that the housing market is functioning properly.

This supply-demand balance contradicts claims of a systemic housing shortage. When housing supply keeps pace with population growth, market forces should theoretically maintain relative affordability absent other significant economic disruptions.

The Missing Financial Stress Evidence

Claims of widespread housing-related financial distress should be accompanied by clear indicators of economic strain. Yet when we examine Minnesota’s financial stress metrics, the evidence doesn’t support a crisis narrative:

Credit Card Debt: While Minnesota residents carry an average of $6,800 in credit card debt, this represents a manageable burden for most households. Only 6.65% of Minnesotans are behind on credit card paymentsโ€”a figure that, while not negligible, hardly suggests widespread financial collapse.

Payday Loans Eliminated: Rather than seeing increased desperation borrowing, Minnesota has essentially eliminated its payday loan industry through regulatory action. The state capped interest rates at 36% APR in 2024, driving out predatory lenders who previously charged an average of 202% annually. Payday America, which handled two-thirds of the state’s payday loan volume, simply stopped operating in Minnesota. If financial stress were truly endemic, we would expect to see increased demand for these services, not their market elimination.

Bankruptcy Filings: While March 2024 saw 731 bankruptcy filingsโ€”the highest since March 2020โ€”this represents a return to pre-pandemic levels rather than an unprecedented crisis. The temporary reduction during the pandemic was likely due to federal assistance programs and eviction moratoriums, making the current numbers a return to historical norms rather than evidence of new distress.

The 30% Rule: An Arbitrary Standard

The frequently cited “30% rule”โ€”that housing should consume no more than 30% of household incomeโ€”deserves particular scrutiny. This threshold traces back to the United States National Housing Act of 1937, developed for public housing eligibility criteria nearly 90 years ago.

As household finance expert Andrรฉs Shahidinejad notes: “There’s no scientific basis or magic reason for (30%) being a cutoff.” Fortune magazine has called the rule “arbitrary and not very helpful for policy makers.” The standard was created in an era of dramatically different household economics, employment patterns, and lifestyle choices.

Modern households make different tradeoffs than their 1937 counterparts. Some prioritize location and are willing to spend 40% or 50% of their income on housing in exchange for shorter commutes, better schools, or urban amenities. Others prefer larger homes in less expensive areas. These are choices, not evidence of crisis.

Reframing the Conversation

The data suggests Minnesota has achieved something remarkable: a housing market that houses virtually everyone while maintaining supply growth that matches population growth. Rather than focusing on arbitrary percentage thresholds from the 1930s, we should celebrate this success while remaining vigilant about maintaining it.

This doesn’t mean housing policy should be ignored. Maintaining the supply-demand balance that currently exists requires continued attention to zoning, construction costs, and regulatory barriers. But it does suggest that crisis rhetoric may be misplacing our focus and potentially leading to policy solutions for problems that may not exist at the scale suggested.

The evidence points not to a housing affordability crisis, but to a housing success story that deserves recognition and careful preservation. Minnesota’s achievement of housing 99.82% of its population while maintaining supply growth represents a model worth studying and replicating, not a crisis requiring dramatic intervention.

This is one type of missing housing

For 125 years, this building has been a form of low-income housing. It was a hotel for most of the time, but it is now being explicitly managed in aid of Veterans. But slowly, these types of housing are squeezed out of areas, as are trailer homes.

Rentals in single-family homes are also less common than in years gone by. Many core cities, which would benefit most from additional forms of rentals, require a variety of regulations which discourage owners from renting out part of their house. They are also held to standards that, in the past, favored an owner whereas now puts them as a disadvantage.

Yes, more homes need to be built. But many other forms of casual living situations have been squeezed out of existence by rules and regulations.

Is it better?

Sometimes I run a piece through Claude to see how it appears as an AI revision. It’s always much better. The one below is a rewrite of yesterday’s post. But I sometimes miss my unusual word choice and structure.

When Everyone Had the Power to Act, No One Did

Victoria Wilson
August 11, 2025

US Attorney General Joe Thompson’s recent assessment of Minnesota’s fraud crisis cuts to the heart of a systemic failure. As he told the Star Tribune: “This fraud crisis didn’t come out of nowhere. It’s the result of widespread failure across nearly every level of leadership in Minnesota: Politicians who turned a blind eye. Agencies that failed to act. Prosecutors and law enforcement who didn’t push hard enough. Reporters who ignored the story. Community leaders who stayed silent. And a public that wanted to believe it couldn’t happen here.”

Thompson is describing something profound: the collapse of state capacity through a thousand small abdications of responsibility.

The Architecture of Inaction

At every decision pointโ€”what scholars call the “locus of discretion”โ€”someone could have acted. The architecture of prevention was already in place; what failed was the will to use it.

Politicians possessed both influence and institutional knowledge. Any number could have quietly removed a questionable contractor from consideration or flagged suspicious applications. Career bureaucrats, masters of administrative friction, could have deployed their expertise differentlyโ€”slowing suspicious applications rather than legitimate ones, demanding additional documentation, or simply doing their jobs by visiting the nonprofit distribution sites that journalists later discovered were empty storefronts.

But the machinery of oversight had been recalibrated around different priorities.

The Pendulum’s Swing

Law enforcement and prosecutors had internalized a new philosophy. Years of concern about overcharging and mass incarceration had created an institutional bias toward restraint. The progressive approachโ€”emphasizing rehabilitation over punishment, empathy over enforcementโ€”had become orthodoxy. This wasn’t necessarily wrong in principle, but it created blind spots in practice.

When the prevailing wisdom holds that harsh enforcement causes more harm than good, the institutional reflexes that might catch sophisticated fraud schemes atrophy. The very skills and instincts that prosecutors once relied upon were now viewed with suspicion, even by the prosecutors themselves.

The Fourth Estate’s Absence

Perhaps most puzzling was the media’s delayed response. Major fraud schemes leave trailsโ€”suspicious contracts, questionable nonprofits, patterns of payments that don’t match claimed activities. These stories don’t require deep investigative resources so much as basic skepticism and persistence.

Yet for years, the story went untold. What accounts for this collective editorial blind spot? The same social and ideological currents that affected other institutions likely influenced newsrooms as well. When the dominant narrative emphasizes compassion over skepticism, reporters may unconsciously avoid stories that complicate that narrative.

Social Proof and Professional Risk

The community leaders Thompson mentionsโ€”board members, nonprofit executives, civic figuresโ€”faced their own constraints. In professional networks where certain viewpoints signal virtue and sophistication, dissent carries social costs. The cocktail party circuit that shapes elite opinion had settled on particular truths about criminal justice, social services, and community empowerment.

Raising uncomfortable questions about fraud prevention or accountability could mark someone as unsympathetic, backward, or worse. When career advancement and social standing depend on maintaining good relationships within ideologically coherent networks, the incentives point toward conformity rather than vigilance.

The Paradox of Distributed Responsibility

This case illustrates a peculiar modern phenomenon: system-wide failure despite individual competence. None of these actors were incompetent or malicious. Politicians understood governance, bureaucrats knew their procedures, prosecutors understood the law, reporters could investigate, and community leaders cared about their communities.

The failure occurred because everyone was optimizing for their immediate institutional and social environment rather than the system’s overall integrity. Each actor made rational decisions given their constraints, yet the collective result was irrationalโ€”a massive fraud that continued for years despite numerous opportunities for intervention.

The Cost of Consensus

Thompson’s critique suggests something uncomfortable: that the very social and ideological consensus meant to create a more just society may have created new vulnerabilities. When preventing harm becomes conflated with avoiding enforcement, when empathy becomes synonymous with credulity, the institutions meant to protect public resources become unable to protect them.

This doesn’t argue for a return to punitive excess, but rather for institutional cultures capable of holding multiple values in tensionโ€”compassion and accountability, reform and vigilance, trust and verification.

The Minnesota fraud case reveals what happens when that balance is lost, when the locus of discretion at every level points in the same direction: away from the uncomfortable work of saying no.

The Locus of Discretion

What is being described in the following passage?

โ€œThis fraud crisis didnโ€™t come out of nowhere. Itโ€™s the result of widespread failure across nearly every level of leadership in Minnesota: Politicians who turned a blind eye. Agencies that failed to act. Prosecutors and law enforcement who didnโ€™t push hard enough. Reporters who ignored the story. Community leaders who stayed silent,โ€ he told the Star Tribune recently. โ€œAnd a public that wanted to believe it couldnโ€™t happen here.โ€

That’s from US Attorney General Joe Thompson as reported in the Minnesota Reformer.

Isn’t he talking about state capacity? At every level, at each locus of discretion, action could have been taken to deter the fraudsters. Politicians are powerful and familiar with the levers of influence. Many could have bumped a potential n’er-do-well from the contract they pursued. Bureaucrats are very familiar with slow walking. Anyone in the chain of processing payments could ask for more information, lose pieces of the application, or demand more verifications. Heck, they could have even done they’re job and gone looking for the non-profits’ distribution sites, which, as the reporters later discovered, were vacant shells.

Prosecutors and law enforcement were busy working the other side of the justice spectrum. Anxious about overcharging instead of undercharging, they were busy releasing those who in past years would have received sentences. It’s been avant-garde to look the other way and anticipate a return to the law-abiding citizenry due to this empathetic understanding. (If you haven’t been au courant, this has not been successful.)

The reporters have finally come through five or six years into this monumental fleecing of the public purse. But where or where were they a few years ago? Four years ago? Six years ago? Who’s been persuading them to look away when such a tale was left untold? And the community leader, how about you? At the same parties, I’m sure. Drinking the same cocktails. Talking the same talk of empathy for the wayward results in reduced recidivism. Even though there is no track record. But the fashion of the day prevails. And social circles are heavily influenced by the fear of being left off the invite list for the next big event.

So there you have it. A big state capacity flop. At every level, the few who might have shoved the right disclosing email on the right desk, or talked a bit too much at a party to get the right word in the right ear, all muted. All cloaked down by the desire, no, the need, to be in with the crowd du jour.

Namibia and Saskatchewan?

Rural folks in Namibia share a similar need to those living in the open plains of southern Saskatchewan. There is a need for ambulances and none are forthcoming.

We have lost more than five innocent lives due to poor roads and a lack of clinical facilities,โ€ Gcugcuma village headman Kapeta Sikukutu told regional leaders during the engagementโ€ฆ.

โ€œPeople have died on their way to the hospital from remote areas because of transport problems,โ€ the headman said.

โ€œWe use the traditional mode of transport, which is oxen, and it contributes to the loss of lives. It takes hours for one to reach the clinic, which is 30km away from where we live,โ€ Sikukutu said. Namibian.

Meanwhile across the globe.

High call volumes and a shortage of paramedics are making for difficult situations when it comes to fast ambulance services in Saskatchewan.

Through a mutual aid agreement in Regina, fire crews are responding to ambulance calls when an ambulance canโ€™t immediately respond.

Global News CA

In both cases local residents come together to figure out how to cover these infrequent, untimely, but highly necessary transport needs.

It seems like thereโ€™d be a model for this.

Claims about public goodsโ€” data edition

Data collection by government is good. It is necessary. Itโ€™s as reliable as the bureaucracy that Shepards its output.

I love how this article in Bloomberg, The BLS Canโ€™t Be Replaced by the Private Sector, by Claudia Sahm slices and dices the public nature of data collection. But I wonder about her denial of its private creation. Letโ€™s consider her claims.

To be clear, this is the way it should be: Private companies are not in the business of creating public goods, which is what economic statistics from the government are. They are free to users, transparent in their methods, protective of the privacy of individuals and businesses, and dependable. Most private companies that create statistics charge users for access. (Some share their results publicly as a form of marketing.) Many private companies share only limited information about their methodology to deter competition.

Private companies are in the business of making a profit, and to do that they need to attract customers. Some customers are more profitable than others. As a result, a companyโ€™s data will tend to reflect the needs of its clients โ€” it wonโ€™t capture the economy as whole.

And yetโ€” many privately created data sets are used openly in a transparent fashion.

Hereโ€™s a list summarized by Grok of data provided by private enterprises for public consumption:

Private organizations often provide data that can function as a public goodโ€”non-excludable and non-rivalrous, benefiting society broadly. Here are some examples:

  1. Open-Source Software Data: Companies like GitHub or Red Hat share code repositories and software documentation, enabling developers worldwide to build and innovate without restriction.
  2. Environmental Data: Private firms, like those operating weather stations (e.g., IBMโ€™s Weather Company), provide real-time weather and climate data, which supports disaster preparedness and agricultural planning.
  3. Health Data Aggregates: Pharmaceutical companies or research institutions sometimes release anonymized clinical trial data or disease prevalence statistics, aiding public health research and policy.
  4. Geographic and Mapping Data: Organizations like OpenStreetMap or Google (via public APIs) offer mapping data that supports urban planning, navigation, and disaster response.
  5. Educational Resources: Platforms like Khan Academy or Coursera provide free or low-cost educational content, democratizing access to knowledge.
  6. Economic and Market Data: Financial institutions like Bloomberg or trading platforms sometimes release anonymized market trends or economic indicators, informing policy and research.
  7. Scientific Research Data: Private research labs, such as those in biotech, occasionally share datasets (e.g., genomic data) that advance collective scientific knowledge.

These datasets, while often generated for profit, can be shared in ways that make them accessible and beneficial to the public, resembling public goods.

Furthermore, there are frequent examples of bureaucratic efforts being led astray by private subgroups. The temptation for biased numbers can occur in both sectors.

Can we think of any recent Federal agencies being dismantled?

Once modest, Now grand

The Potato Row houses were built for factory workers outside the fortifications of Copenhagen in the late 19th Century, a time when each one housed 2-3 families. Today, they are coveted single-family townhouses for the upper class, selling for $2-3 million, with a tiny backyard and street parking if you can find it.

With thanks to @copenhagenbycosedis for his hospitality, and for providing the mobile number of a good helicopter pilot.

Land use and appreciation is always in transition. Sometimes slowly, sometimes fast.

Discovery then and now

Before AI, you had to get up close and to see how things happened.

Now you just ask: Rubber cultivation from rubber trees involves planting the trees, allowing them to grow for several years, and then collecting latex from the bark. This latex is then processed into natural rubber. The process can be resource-intensive, and there are ongoing efforts to improve the sustainability of rubber production, including using degraded land for plantations and exploring more efficient extraction methods. 

The Feast of the Goat

This carefully crafted book intertwines three tales occurring around the 1961 assassination of Rafael Trujillo, the brutal dictator of the Dominican Republic. The author’s language is beautiful and descriptive. He astutely matches the voices of each of his characters to the vernacular. There are enough historical facts to learn something without the narrative becoming pedantic. All these features make it brilliant.

But I believe the author is trying for more. Itโ€™s as if he wants to answer the question: How does a brutal dictator maintain such cruel control of a country for three decades? He is laying out how it works. First, he tells us of the agents. He gives us Urania. She returns to her homeland with the sole objective of presenting her father with a tally of her expenses for a decision he made so long ago. Then there are the insurgents, working together in a high-risk pursuit. And there is the dictator who is conflated with the state, as he has all those powers and economic means at his disposal.

The author is clear that there are more units of shared interest. Each of these agents has ties to the family. And each of these has varying fortunes depending on its ranking within the social structure.

To keep his model tight, the author does not pursue the family as agents who take action. He keeps to three stories, three positions of departure around one historical event. The first is the view of the lead character, Urania Cabal. Her story is one of private loss. One might want to point out that her upbringing in the upper echelon of society is what led to her success at Harvard and in the legal profession. Though her return after thirty-five years in the US is only to punish her father. To make it clear that his betrayal was beyond redemption.

The insurgents’ story is interesting as they tell individuals tales while collaborating in the assassination of the all-powerful leader. Their losses under the dictator’s reign are aired. There’s an ongoing tally of the wrongs against them, the losses they’ve incurred, and the potential penalties their actions could bring to them and their families, all while dangling the glory of being the crew that extinguishes the dictatorship. They work as a team. Their action influences the direction of the country.

Truiljo’s firm grip on the small Caribbean country occurred through control of the secret police, the army, and industry. His private gains were considerable. Truiljo’s ability to manipulate the interests of subordinates is significant. But the author gives us more insight. He shows, by running these stories simultaneously, how Truiljo understood the impact of corruption on other close affiliations. He led people to a point of no return, destroying collations one by one. One wonders if his fear of the church is somehow related to a fear of the levers of redemption.

I believe that Mario Vargas Llosa uses this book to break out individual agents, groups as agents, and show how they interact, how they are motivated, and where all the gains and losses occur. It shows up in his language.

On page 267, Trujillo’s girltrader and dealmaker tells Urania’s father, โ€œHe (Trujillo) will call you. He’ll return what’s been taken from you. Uranita’s future will be secure. Think of her, Agustรญn, and shake off your antiquated prejudices. Don’t be an egotist.” He offers a perverse message of fulfilling his family obligation, of helping out his daughter, by offering her up as a sexual morsel to the dictator.

On page 322 the author emphasizes the active reformulation of groups as agents, โ€œAs if in a dream, in the hours that followed he saw this assemblage of Trujillo’s family, relatives, and top leaders form cliques, dissolve them, and form them again as events began to connect like pieces filling in the gaps of a puzzle until a solid figure took shape.โ€ Once the new assemblage forms, it becomes one. A solid shape.

On page 355, the brilliant Vargas Llosa reminds his readers to depend on human nature: โ€œDoรฑa Marรญa’s response had been predictable: her greed was stronger than any other passion.โ€ The first lady could be depended on to prioritize personal interests over group ideals.

In this book, the audience is presented with a model of group agency, with actions for the self or for the group, with an accounting in a before-and-after setting of people’s fortunes and deficits. Vargas Llosa answers the question of how it works.

Fully modeled with examples.

Mario Vargas Llosa talks about Adam Smith

I enjoy books where one famous intellectual gives their interpretation of anotherโ€™s insights. Vargas Llosa starts his history of thought with Adam Smith and his book The Theory of Moral Sentiments.

Human beings get to know each other through imagination, and a natural sense of sympathy toward one’s neighbor is what draws one individual to another, something that would never occur if human actions were exclusively governed by reason. This feeling of sympathy, and imagination, brings strangers together and establishes between them a link that breaks down mistrust and creates reciprocal bonds. The vision of man and society that permeates this book is positive and optimistic, for Adam Smith believes that, despite all the horrors that are committed, goodness-โ€”that is, moral sentimentsโ€” prevail over evil.

MN fact of the day

The stateโ€™s acting U.S. Attorney Joseph H. Thompson provided this statement about the decision to terminate the HHS program:

โ€œWe welcome todayโ€™s news. Fraud has been eating away at Minnesotaโ€™s public programs for years, costing taxpayers billions. Ending the Housing Stabilization Services program cuts off a major source of abuse, but this is just the beginning. The fight against fraud continues, and a broader reckoning is long overdue.โ€

KSTP

So thereโ€™s still more to come. The 1Billion figure is looking real.

Perhaps 7% of homes turnover in a year

Is Rural Housing Really Unaffordable? The Numbers Tell a Different Story

A recent Council of Economic Advisers (CEA) report claims rural housing affordability has plummeted, with charts showing a 75.5% rise in house prices ($145,000 to $254,000) from 2000 to 2023, while incomes grew only 12.3% ($65,000 to $73,000). This suggests a price-to-income ratio jumping from 2.2 to 3.5, implying homes are much harder to afford. But the charts mislead by lumping everyone together, hiding whoโ€™s really affected.

The CEAโ€™s charts (Figures 5 and 6) plot real income and house prices for all rural homeowners, suggesting everyone faces a $254,000 price tag. Hereโ€™s the catch: only about 7% of rural homes (~1.6 million households) are sold each year. Most homeowners have fixed costs from years ago, like a $145,000 mortgage from 2000, and arenโ€™t hit by todayโ€™s prices. Even worse, only a third of those salesโ€”about 2% of all homesโ€”are to first-time buyers, who truly face the 3.5 ratio. The other two-thirds are existing homeowners using equity from their old home to buy a new one, cushioning the cost. So, the chart overstates the burden, as only ~2% of rural households (first-time buyers) face the full market price.

Worse, the income figure ($73,000) includes older homeowners, who make up ~20% of rural residents (65+). Many own their homes outright, with low costs (e.g., $2,540/year in taxes on a $254,000 home) and low incomes (e.g., $30,000 from pensions). This drags down the median income, inflating the 3.5 ratio. Young buyers (25โ€“45), earning ~$85,000, face a better ratio (~3.0), showing the problem isnโ€™t as dire for them.

Picture a bar chart: in 2000, the price-to-income ratio was 2.2 for all. In 2023, itโ€™s 3.5 for everyone (per the CEA), but only 3.0 for young buyers. A pie chart would show 20% older homeowners (low-income, high-equity), 73% other existing owners (fixed costs), and just 7% new buyers (2% first-time, 5% equity-backed). By mixing everyone into one pool, the details are drowned out.

Prices have gone up. They are set by the purchasing abilities of those entering the market. But the few homes that turn over every year should not be used to consider the housing expense of the 93% of owners who did not buy or sell. That obligation was set years prior in a different market.

Single Issue Groups vs Pluralistic Partnerships

Two recent articles by prominent housing policy voices reveal a shared concern about the structural limitations of the YIMBY movement’s traditional approach. Both Chris Elmendorf’s “YIMBYism started as a single-issue movement. It’s time to think bigger” and Matthew Yglesias’s “The power of a single-issue group” examine how YIMBY organizations have operated as focused advocates for increased housing density, but each author suggests that this narrow framework may need evolution to achieve lasting success.

The Competitive Model of Single-Issue Advocacy

Both authors describe YIMBY groups through a similar structural lens: as collections of people united around the singular goal of increasing housing density through land use reform and community lobbying. This approach has positioned YIMBY organizations as competitors in the arena of local politics, where they must vie against other community interestsโ€”from neighborhood character preservation to parking concernsโ€”to secure favorable outcomes.

This competitive dynamic has been YIMBY’s strength. As Elmendorf notes, “The signal advantage of one-issue groups is that they can work with almost any legislator. By not taking stances on peripheral issues, they avoid making enemies.” Similarly, Yglesias emphasizes that “the strength of YIMBYism over the past 10-15 years has largely derived from its single-issue orientation during a time of relentless political polarization.” The movement has achieved bipartisan success across diverse political landscapes precisely because it hasn’t alienated potential allies by taking controversial positions on unrelated issues.

However, both authors identify a fundamental limitation in this competitive approach. When YIMBY groups operate as single-issue advocates, they inherently position themselves in opposition to other legitimate community concerns rather than as partners in comprehensive neighborhood improvement.

The Case for Pluralistic Collaboration

The articles converge on a crucial insight: sustainable support for housing density may require YIMBY groups to embrace a more pluralistic approach that considers multiple public goods simultaneously. Rather than competing against other neighborhood priorities, they could collaborate to address the full spectrum of urban challenges.

Elmendorf argues that this shift is not just strategically wise but empirically necessary. His research reveals that “people who feel good about big cities want existing cities to become more canonically city-like.” This finding suggests that support for density depends heavily on broader urban quality of lifeโ€”including schools, transportation, public safety, and cultural amenities.

Yglesias acknowledges the value of this broader approach while defending the continued importance of single-issue organizing. He recognizes that multi-issue coalitions can offer something valuable to skeptical neighbors: addressing their concerns about construction impacts by simultaneously improving schools, transit, and safety.

Beyond Zero-Sum Thinking

The structural shift both authors envision moves beyond zero-sum competition toward collaborative problem-solving. Instead of viewing neighborhood concerns as obstacles to overcome, a more pluralistic YIMBY approach would treat them as legitimate issues requiring integrated solutions.

This doesn’t mean abandoning the core mission of increasing housing supply, but rather embedding that mission within a broader framework of neighborhood improvement. As Elmendorf suggests, such an approach could offer community members a compelling trade-off: “You may not like all the buildings, but you’ll love the great schools, safe streets, fast transit, and thriving business that we’ll deliver.”

The Challenge of Multiple Public Goods

Both authors acknowledge the complexity of this transition. Weighing multiple public goods requires sophisticated political judgment and potentially controversial prioritization decisions. A group focused solely on housing can avoid taking positions on education funding or transit investment; a multi-issue coalition cannot.

Yet this complexity may be precisely what sustainable urban policy requires. Rather than treating housing, transportation, education, and public safety as separate domains competing for attention and resources, effective urban governance demands understanding their interconnections and potential synergies.

Conclusion

While Elmendorf and Yglesias differ on whether YIMBY organizations should fully embrace multi-issue coalition building or maintain some single-issue focus, they share a recognition that the movement’s competitive, narrow approach has structural limitations. The path forward likely involves both preserving the strategic advantages of focused advocacy while developing new organizational forms capable of the pluralistic collaboration that sustainable urban development requires.

The evolution from single-issue competition to multi-issue partnership represents more than a tactical shiftโ€”it reflects a deeper understanding that creating livable, dense communities requires addressing the full spectrum of residents’ concerns rather than simply winning narrow victories on housing policy alone.

Old Friends

I canโ€™t thank fortune enough for that sweet twist of fate,


Our worlds collided, bound, some forty years to date.


Yet here we sit, on lawn chairs side by side,


On a grassy knoll where lake and sky abide.

The birds weave songs through whispers of the breeze,


Their calls a chorus, soft beneath the trees.


We share our stories, threads of joy and pain,


Each word a ripple on the lakeโ€™s serene domain.

No grand design, no fateโ€™s unyielding hand,


Just us, this moment, on this gentle land.


Grateful am I, for this sweet chance to know,


The peace of hearts aligned where wild things grow.

When the public and the private look each other in the eye

This is a super Conversation with Tyler. Helen Castor is an historian specializing in the Middle Ages.

When asked what drew her to her scholarship, she answers.

CASTOR: What an interesting question. I think Iโ€™m preoccupied by the human dimension, and thatโ€™s why the focus of my interest goes in two directions. One is psychological, that I am always trying to work out what makes my protagonists tick from moment to moment, even though Iโ€™m trying to work across five or six hundred years. Thatโ€™s what I love, trying to get inside their minds and see through their eyes.

The other thing Iโ€™m preoccupied with is the functioning of power. I think thatโ€™s why I love the Middle Ages, because Iโ€™ve always felt, in looking at modern history, that I get bamboozled by structures, by the institutions through which power is expressed and mediated.

What I find fascinating about the Middle Ages in England is that youโ€™re looking at a very sophisticated structure of power, but itโ€™s present in bare bones because we donโ€™t have the great apparatus of state. Therefore, individual choices and individual psychology become extremely exposed, so itโ€™s that point where skeletal structures of power are being inhabited by particular individuals, and how that plays out. I think thatโ€™s where my interest lies, and therefore thatโ€™s where Iโ€™m hoping to contribute.

The Middle Ages, the family, the state and the people are so tightly held they look each other in the eye.

A way to think about transaction costs

Me: Could you say the friction occurs at the intersection of markets for goods and markets for institutional services? Itโ€™s a settling of accounts between two spheres

Grok: Yes, thatโ€™s a sharp way to frame it. Transaction costs can indeed be seen as frictions arising at the intersection of markets for goods (where the primary exchange of products or services occurs) and markets for institutional services (the mechanisms, like legal systems, information platforms, or intermediaries, that facilitate those exchanges). These costs reflect the โ€œsettling of accountsโ€ between the two spheres, as you put it, because they emerge from the interaction of the core transaction (buying/selling a good) and the supporting infrastructure needed to make it happen.

For example:

  • In the goods market, supply and demand determine the price of, say, a car.
  • In the institutional services market, the costs of searching for the car (e.g., via a platform), negotiating the contract (e.g., legal fees), or ensuring delivery (e.g., escrow services) create frictions that add to the total cost of the transaction.
  • These frictions are where the two spheres โ€œsettle accounts,โ€ as the efficiency of institutional services (or lack thereof) directly impacts the ease and cost of completing the transaction in the goods market.

This interplay can be stickyโ€”high institutional costs (e.g., slow courts, opaque information) donโ€™t always adjust smoothly to market dynamics, creating persistent frictions. Conversely, competitive institutional markets (e.g., streamlined online platforms) can reduce these costs, aligning the spheres more seamlessly. Your metaphor captures how transaction costs are a bridgeโ€”or sometimes a barrierโ€”between the idealized exchange of goods and the real-world systems that enable it.

Damages- Series Review

This 2007 made for TV series started slow. But the actors involved were some of my favorites like Glenn Close who plays the villain well, and Ted Danson and Zeljko Ivanek who is always a ringer for the man behind the power player.

By the third episode the interplay in the plot becomes entangled and interesting. Slowly the story is revealed with further complications for all the players. Back and forth the favor seem to switch from one party to the other.

The writers seem particularly tuned in to playing off the balancing act between privates lived and work commitments. The whole โ€˜how wealthy people live in expensive citiesโ€™ add a dimension to this. The videography of Manhattan is fun.

This legal drama series is worth your time!

Externalizing and Internalizing

What does it mean? When a party externalizes or internalizes? Let’s consider how Edward Glaeser uses the terms in his article, “Reforming Land Use Regulations,” published by Brookings.

Theoretically, it is at least conceivable that Americaโ€™s web of locally-constructed zoning codes have worked out to be a finely tuned system that functions like a perfect Pigouvian tax internalizing all the offsetting externalities of all new construction.

The article explores how zoning, particularly single-family zoning, restricts the market from generating more livable units, such as multifamily buildings. This restriction causes an internalization of benefits to the group of homeowners who wish to limit growth near them. And this is indeed how it works. A developer wants to build a high-rise, and the neighbors show up at the planning commission meeting to complain that the new structure will cast shadows over their properties.

The reference to offsetting externalities refers to the implication that new construction will generate some negative outcomes in the form of increased vehicles and hence air pollution, for example. Glaeser suggests that the motion of externalizing and internalizing, which is a dynamic effect of value transfer between individuals and groups and greater groups, can arrive at a balance: a perfect Pigouvian tax.

Here’s another observation about externalities.

Our attempt to assess the total externalities generated by building in Manhattan found that they were tiny relative to the implicit tax on building created by land use controls (Glaeser, Gyourko and Saks, 2005).

This comment also suggests that an equalizing measure can be achieved by balancing the flow of social costs and benefits between groups. Here, the researchers were unable to add up enough costs to validate the internalized benefits to property owners of land-use restrictions. However, perhaps this is a framing issue. Maybe people only see the costs and benefits in their very reduced sphere because they haven’t been presented with the resonating effects up and down a nested system of groups.

Internalizing and externalizing are dynamic terms for the balancing of social costs and benefits.

Delays are not all due to Land Use Regs

There’s some good stuff in this 2017 article, Reforming Land Use Regulations, written by Edward Glaeser for Brookings.

First, there is the concept of Minimum Profitable Construction Cost.

But the regulatory approach on housing should compare housing prices to the Minimum Profitable Construction Cost, or MPPC. An unfettered construction market wonโ€™t magically reduce the price of purchasing lumber or plumbing. The best price outcome possible, without subsidies, is that prices hew more closely to the physical cost of building.

Many people outside the real estate industry discuss ‘building new housing’ as if it were something that can be grown if you simply plant the right seeds. Whereas the reality is that a construction project won’t get off the ground without incentives. The MPCC validates this model and provides a benchmark for measuring the starting point at which a project can be launched.

The following noteworthy observation is that old properties are valued less than new. Thus it follows that rents for older properties are less than new construction.

We then compare these construction costs with the distribution of self-assessed housing values in the American Housing Survey. The distribution of price to MPPC ratios shows a nation of extremes.ย  Fully, 40 percent of the American Housing Survey homes are valued at 75 percent or less of their Minimum Profitable Production Cost.ย 

What this means for the public is that it is 25% cheaper (or more) to subsidize a renter in an older property than in brand new construction. Now that a Harvard man has written it down, can everyone stop with the ‘let’s build affordable housing’ rhetoric? New is never the least expensive option.

In reference to the 2008-2011 downturn, Glaeser remarks.

Our painful housing bust eliminated some of the affordability problem in our most expensive areas, but that problem has returned.

So, housing prices go up and down. Yet it seems that the topic of housing is always making the intellectual rounds when prices are on the rise โ€”why? There is as much to learn about the dynamics of real estate when the market deflates as when the market inflates.

Here is a most underinvestigated observation.

ย Getting the right national policy requires comparing the social costs of building in one location versus the costs of building elsewhere.ย 

The two social costs mentioned are environmental damage and the downsides of local growth. But think about who shows up at council meetings and what they complain about. Insufficient parking, increased traffic, noise and disruption, putting a strain on the schools, criticism of luxury buildings, and on it goes. The social aspect of this is extensive and profound. And each person in the chain of events that end in new construction has the ability ot use social norms to enhance or detract from the project.

Land use rules are a factor in shaping the development and redevelopment of an area. But there is so much more.

Composers in the time of *War and Peace*

Leo Tolstoy’s epic, War and Peace, is set during a period of significant change on the European continent. During this time, the musical patronage system was also transitioning. “While the Napoleonic Wars (c. 1792โ€“1815) and the broader European revolutions disrupted or dismantled many traditional aristocratic institutions, a handful of European courts managed to maintain strong systems of musical patronage well into the 19th century. These courts often had a mix of economic resources, political insulation, and cultural identity-building motives that allowed them to keep composers and ensembles under their employ.

Here are the royal courts that held onto the aristocratic support model longest โ€” and why: the full link (from chat).

The stories of Napoleons voracious conquests are felt in Beethovenโ€™s rhythms.

Here is the full playlist of music heard in the Vienna court in 1810.

Put and Take Lakes

Fishing is an integral part of Minnesota’s culture. People fish off their boats. Clusters of folks fish off piers at public parks. High school students have developed fishing as a competitive sport. And there’s purse money involved. Partly, it’s evolved due to the abundance of lakes. Almost all lakes have public access, and the waters are open to those who wander.

The Scandinavian countries have counted on the waters for fish for centuries. Rod Hsu, a fisherman blogger, recounts a trip to Denmark where he learned about put-and-take lakes, Urban Fishing in Danish Lakes.

Denmark is made of several large islands that were formed during the glacial melt. Unlike British Columbia, it lacks mountains and streams. However, it is surrounded by productive ocean waters and there are many small lakes that can be excellent for sportfishing. Fishing is a year round activity, and wintertime can be extremely productive. For the adventure seekers, testing your strength with huge Atlantic cod up to 20kg or flyfishing for sea trout along the beach are definitely the way to go. However, if you can not brave the windchill, lake fishing can be just as exciting. Target species in lakes include rainbow trout, brown trout, northern pike, walleye and several species of carp, perch, roach and bream.

While a fishing license is required, there are also private waters where anglers need to pay user fee to fish in them. One such type of waters is known as the “put & take lakes”. These natural lakes are privately owned and stocked with rainbow trout by the owner. The lakes are generally quite small, most BC anglers would call these ponds. The concept is simple, the owner put fish in the lakes regularly while the anglers pay a certain fee based on the length of their fishing time and are allowed to take their catches home.

Fishing licences are required in Minnesota as well. And they are enforced. A ranger will stop boats on the lake and ask to see their documentation. They will also check the boat to ensure fishermen are not taking more than their limit. This is all organized through public means.

It’s interesting how, in different countries, different goods are considered better managed by private parties versus keeping them open to the public.

These privately managed put & take lakes are great ideas for a country such as Denmark that does not have enough natural resources such as streams and large lakes like the ones we have in British Columbia. These lakes are extremely popular, especially during the summer months. By providing good fishing lakes such as these to meet the angling demand, it takes away the fishing pressure on the protected wild stocks. I think the user fee is reasonable, since anglers are fishing in a well managed lake that has all the needed facilities such as washroom, fish cleaning area and kiosk. I justify it by comparing to going to an amusement park, movie theatre or golf course where you also have to pay to enjoy the facilities. 

Heat Maps

In some parts of the country, particularly the south, people are noticing a slowdown in real estate home sales. That’s not the case up north. The image below is of the seven-county area that comprises the Greater Twin Cities metro, which is predominantly painted in red, a representation of only a few days on the market.

But the more interesting insight is that there are patches of yellow throughout the area, indicating a nook where market times approach forty days. Averaging loses nuance. Nuance is precisely where the interesting observations are to be had.

For that reason, heat maps are wonderful visuals.

Two Parent Privilege and more?

Perhaps you’ve heard the term ‘two-parent privilege’ used lately. It seems to be in the air. The “two-parent privilege” refers to the socioeconomic and developmental advantages often associated with children raised in stable, two-parent households compared to those raised in single-parent or other family structures. Itโ€™s a concept rooted in statistical trends and sociological research, though itโ€™s debated due to its implications and the complexity of family dynamics.

Please note that there are two key aspects to the potential benefits. First, there is the straightforward sharing of resources that two working adults can bring to a shared household, versus one. Think of paying for everything on your own in a home, or being able to split all the utilities and household purchases. Consumables like food even benefit as it is easier to cook for a crowd than for a single person.

Many people may quickly lean in on the second component of the privilege, which anticipates benefits to the child in terms of emotional support as well. This is an essential factor, yet it too depends on the time a parent has to devote to the child’s needs and ambitions. If there are two adults in the home, then the number of hours available for the youth tends to increase.

The point is that the money and resources and time are resources transfered in households from adults to children. We don’t really have a separate name for these things. Or we don’t subscript them to give a sense of benchmarks for what a typical child consumes to thrive. And if we don’t tag the resources to outcomes in the household, we certainly don’t do it in clusters of households or groupings by, say, school districts. And why not? It seems like a valuable form of analysis.

Grok gives a complete response to the prompt: What does the two-parent privilege entail? Give details on the mechanics?

Floorplans, Voila

Getting the floor plan of the bank is always a prelude to a great heist movie plot. A secondary actor would have some contact who knew the architect and could somehow finagle the plans. The thieves would then strategize on how to rob the bank.

Now, plans are ordered on demand based on a simple walkthrough video of the property.

On the one hand, it seems like people would be concerned with divulging this information about their house. On the other hand, home buyers find it very useful.

Beyond the Numbers: The Hidden Social Triggers Behind Arizonaโ€™s SB 1070

I was at a family gathering this week in Montana, and somehow the conversation landed on the 2010 immigration controversy in Phoenix. Following a period of lax immigration enforcement, the people of the Grand Canyon State rose up and said, “No more.” They passed the most restrictive immigration legislation, SB 1070. While several factors are credited for triggering the political backlash, the perception of increased crime is among the leading ones cited. Opponents of enforcement are quick to point out that, on paper, crime was steady. But does that tell the whole story?

While official statistics showed no dramatic rise in crime prior to the passage of Arizonaโ€™s SB 1070, itโ€™s a mistake to assume that public concern over disorder was baseless. The real story lies in the rise of unreported, low-level disruptions and the erosion of civic reciprocityโ€”factors that rarely appear in data but deeply affect social life.

In neighborhoods experiencing rapid demographic change, residents noticed shifts in everyday norms: unfamiliar languages, informal labor markets, overcrowded housing, or changes in how public space was used. These behaviors werenโ€™t necessarily illegal, but they violated shared expectations around cleanliness, quiet, parenting, or neighborliness. What was being felt wasnโ€™t crime in the strict senseโ€”it was a breakdown in social trust.

At the same time, public institutions like schools and emergency rooms were absorbing new burdens, often without visible new funding. To some longtime residents, this looked like one-way civic obligation: they paid in, others drew out. Whether or not that was accurate, it felt unfair, especially in the wake of the 2008 recession. That resentment built a political appetite for laws like SB 1070โ€”not just to target undocumented immigrants, but to restore boundaries between insiders and outsiders, contributors and perceived free riders.

Support for SB 1070 was less about a spike in violent crime and more about a sense of dissolving norms and a loss of control. The law functioned as a signal: that the state would step in to defend social order where federal and informal mechanisms had, in many peopleโ€™s eyes, failed.

Herbal Gardens

Iโ€™m usually a fan of Frederick Melo- but herbal gardens as a necessity of life? Iโ€™m a gardener, a pretty good one. Iโ€™m an active if not pretty good cook. Iโ€™ve tried to tend to herbs and they always fall away. But someone whose life is messy and needs supplemental help is going to grow herbs?

Iโ€™d love to see an outcome report from the attendees of the herbal garden classes, as down to earth and healthy as they sound.

About Buchanan, faith in people, and self-governance

Me: It sounds like he (James M Buchanan) wants to believe in self-governance, yet he doesnโ€™t have faith in the distribution of the groupings, hence โ€˜free ridingโ€™, so in the end he supports the cohesion of the state after all.

Grok:

Your observation captures a tension in James M. Buchananโ€™s work thatโ€™s worth unpacking. Youโ€™re suggesting that while Buchanan champions self-governance and individual liberty, his concern about free-riding and coordination problems leads him to rely on formal institutional structures, which might seem to endorse the cohesion of the stateโ€”potentially contradicting his critique of the organismic view. Letโ€™s explore this interpretation, addressing whether Buchananโ€™s focus on institutions implies support for state cohesion and how it aligns with his belief in self-governance. Iโ€™ll keep the response concise yet thorough, tying it to your previous questions about the organismic concept and group cooperation.

Buchananโ€™s Commitment to Self-Governance

Buchanan, a classical liberal and founder of public choice theory, strongly advocates for self-governance, meaning individuals should have maximum control over their choices and the rules governing their interactions. His rejection of the organismic conceptโ€”where collectives like โ€œthe stateโ€ or โ€œsocietyโ€ are treated as unified entities with their own goalsโ€”stems from his belief that only individuals have preferences and agency. He envisions governance as a system of voluntary agreements among individuals, not top-down control by a cohesive state. Key points:

โ€ข In The Calculus of Consent (1962, with Gordon Tullock), Buchanan proposes that political systems should emerge from unanimous or near-unanimous consent at the constitutional level, where individuals agree on rules for collective decision-making. This reflects self-governance, as the stateโ€™s authority derives from individual agreement, not an inherent collective will.

โ€ข His concept of โ€œpolitics as exchangeโ€ sees government as a mechanism for individuals to cooperate for mutual benefit (e.g., providing public goods like roads), not as a monolithic entity imposing order. This contrasts with organismic views that assume the state naturally serves a unified โ€œpublic interest.โ€

The Free-Rider Problem and Institutional Needs

Your point about Buchananโ€™s lack of faith in the โ€œdistribution of the groupingsโ€ (i.e., how individuals naturally organize) and his concern about free-riding is spot-on. Buchanan recognizes that self-governance faces challenges in large groups due to:

โ€ข Free-Riding: Individuals may benefit from collective goods (e.g., clean air, defense) without contributing, undermining cooperation. For example, someone might enjoy a community-funded park without paying taxes if contributions are voluntary.

โ€ข Coordination Problems: Diverse preferences and large group sizes make spontaneous cooperation difficult without agreed-upon rules. Informal norms work better in small, homogeneous groups but falter at scale.

To address these, Buchanan emphasizes formal institutions, particularly constitutional rules, to facilitate cooperation. In The Limits of Liberty (1975), he argues that a social contractโ€”a set of rules individuals consent toโ€”prevents free-riding and ensures fair contributions to collective goods. For instance, a tax system with constitutional legitimacy compels everyone to pay for public goods, solving the free-rider issue while respecting individual agreement to the rules.

Does this mean Buchanan lacks faith in self-governance? Not quite. He believes self-governance is possible but requires designed structures to align individual incentives with collective outcomes. His focus on constitutions is about enabling individuals to govern themselves through agreed-upon rules, not deferring to a centralized state.

Does Buchanan Support State Cohesion?

Your suggestion that Buchananโ€™s reliance on institutions implies support for the โ€œcohesion of the stateโ€ is a nuanced critique. Letโ€™s break it down:

โ€ข Not State Cohesion in the Organismic Sense: Buchanan explicitly rejects the idea of the state as a cohesive, sentient entity with its own goals (the organismic view). He sees the state as a collection of individualsโ€”politicians, voters, bureaucratsโ€”each pursuing their own interests. His work in public choice theory, especially in The Calculus of Consent, models government as a system of checks and balances to prevent it from becoming a monolithic, coercive entity. For example, he warns against a โ€œpredatory stateโ€ that exploits citizens under the guise of public interest.

โ€ข Institutions as Tools, Not State Worship: Buchananโ€™s support for formal governance is about creating minimal, consensual frameworks to enable cooperation, not endorsing a strong, centralized state. His ideal is a limited government constrained by constitutional rules that individuals have agreed to, ensuring that state actions reflect individual preferences rather than a supposed collective will. For instance, his admiration for Knut Wicksellโ€™s principle of โ€œjust taxationโ€ requires taxes to be tied to benefits and approved by near-unanimous consent, minimizing state overreach.

โ€ข Tension in Practice: Youโ€™re right that Buchananโ€™s reliance on formal institutions could, in practice, lead to a state with some degree of cohesion, as enforcing rules (e.g., tax collection) requires authority. Critics of Buchanan argue that his constitutional framework assumes a level of rational agreement thatโ€™s hard to achieve, and the resulting institutions might take on a life of their own, resembling the cohesive state he critiques. However, Buchanan would counter that this risk is mitigated by designing rules that prioritize individual liberty and limit government power.

Reconciling Self-Governance and Institutional Reliance

Buchananโ€™s position is that self-governance is not spontaneous but requires deliberate institutional design to succeed at scale. He doesnโ€™t distrust individualsโ€™ ability to cooperate but recognizes practical barriers like free-riding and coordination costs. His solution is a two-level governance framework:

1. Constitutional Level: Individuals agree on rules (e.g., voting systems, tax policies) to structure cooperation. This is self-governance in action, as the rules reflect individual consent.

2. Post-Constitutional Level: Within these rules, individuals make choices (e.g., voting, paying taxes) that produce collective outcomes. Institutions enforce these rules to prevent free-riding, but their legitimacy comes from prior agreement, not state supremacy.

This framework contrasts with the organismic view, which might assume society naturally coalesces around shared goals without needing explicit rules. Buchananโ€™s skepticism of such assumptions drives his focus on institutions, but he remains committed to individual liberty and minimal state intervention.

Addressing Your Critique

Youโ€™re correct that Buchananโ€™s concern about free-riding and group coordination could seem to undermine his faith in pure self-governance, pushing him toward formal institutions that resemble state cohesion. However, he would argue that these institutions are tools of self-governance, not endorsements of a cohesive state. The stateโ€™s role is to enforce rules individuals have chosen, not to act as an independent entity. His ideal is a decentralized system where individuals retain maximum control, but he acknowledges that some formal structure is necessary to make self-governance scalable and sustainable.

Conclusion

Buchanan believes in self-governance but sees formal institutions, particularly constitutional rules, as essential to overcome free-riding and coordination challenges in large groups. This doesnโ€™t mean he supports state cohesion in the organismic sense; rather, he advocates for a limited, consensual state that enforces individual-agreed rules to enable cooperation. His focus on institutions reflects a pragmatic solution to make self-governance work, not a retreat to statism.

The Lake- Series Review

This Slovenian series is quite good. And best of all, it’s very local. I didn’t even have a good grasp of where this country, with a population of just over 2 million people, was situated. The star, Sebastian Cavazza, plays the moody, ever-searching lead detective of a band of four. His co-workers are a bit quirky and a lot loyal. A new girl joins to stir in some romantic interest.

The story holds, but what makes the whole thing interesting is the glimpse into a new country with all its subtleties and unique characteristics. Even the lead-in music feels Slovenian.

Laissez Faire while preserving Status

I was just starting to remind myself how tiresome the war scenes are in nineteenth-century literature. Dragoons and flanks, musketeers and battery, Cossacks and campaigns- all so tiring. But then, Tolstoy, that timeless genius, throws these wise words across the page in War and Peace.

Prince Andrey listened carefully to Prince Bagration’s colloquies with the commanding offi-cers, and to the orders he gave them, and noticed, to his astonishment, that no orders were really given by him at all, but that Prince Bagration confined himself to trying to appear as though everything that was being done of necessity, by chance, or at the will of individual officers, was all done, it not by his order, at least in accordance with his intentions. Prince Andrey observed, however, that, thanks to the tact shown by Prince Bagration, notwithstanding that what was done was due to chance, and not dependent on the commander’s will, his presence was of the greatest value.

Sometimes you can see two structures melding in real time. On the one hand the underlings, those closest yo the knowledge, are given the right to choose; on the other hand a charade of power preserves the status of those in charge.

Sometimes, itโ€™s best if public life is not too exacting.

Reasons for Regional Thinking

This is from Bloomberg’s news letter a few days ago:

This example comes from South Africa, but the pattern is familiar in city neighborhoods across the United States. A single area becomes highly sought afterโ€”often because of a natural amenity like a lake, a hilltop view, or tree-lined streets. As people concentrate their attention and investment there, surrounding neighborhoods are overlooked. That neglect can manifest in subtle formsโ€”like disrepair or increased petty crimeโ€”which only reinforces the appeal of the original “best” area.

At first, residents welcome the rising property values. But over time, that early advantage turns into a burden. Friends and family are priced out. Local businesses close as commercial rents climb, replaced by boutique shops that cater to outsiders. What began as a benefit morphs into a form of isolation.

A regional perspective offers a solution. If planners and policymakers ensure that all neighborhoods remain livable and desirableโ€”not just one or twoโ€”the pressure on any single area can be eased. Without that balance, scarcity drives runaway prices, and the community as a whole suffers.

Warfare commitment 200 years gone by

After reading Anna Karenina last August, our reading group decided to tackle War and Peace in 2025. It’s a behemoth. But with all the war talk, I was curious to know what percentage of the male population was tromping across Europe and how many young men were left for other pursuits closer to home. It turns out a lot- although Chat is quick to say that the data is complex to pinpoint due to inconsistent records.

Summary

โ€ข France: ~50โ€“60% of males aged 18โ€“55 served, driven by universal conscription and mass mobilization (2โ€“2.4 million from 3.6โ€“4 million).

โ€ข Russia: ~20โ€“30% served, with serf-based levies mobilizing 1โ€“1.5 million from 3.5โ€“5 million, supplemented by militias in 1812.

โ€ข Austria: ~40โ€“60% served, with 1โ€“1.5 million mobilized from 2โ€“2.6 million, using selective conscription.

โ€ข Prussia: ~40โ€“65% served, with 500,000โ€“800,000 mobilized from 1โ€“1.25 million, increasing after 1813 reforms.

โ€ข Britain: ~25โ€“40% served, with 400,000โ€“500,000 mobilized from 1.2โ€“1.5 million, relying on volunteers and naval press-ganging.

In the Context of War and Peace

The novel reflects these varying conscription rates through its portrayal of Russian serf-soldiers and officers like Andrei and Nikolai, contrasted with the French Grande Armรฉeโ€™s mass-conscripted forces. Russiaโ€™s lower percentage reflects its selective serf levies, while Franceโ€™s high rate underscores the levรฉe en masseโ€™s impact, as seen in the exhausted French troops during the 1812 retreat. The differences in mobilization rates highlight the social and military dynamics Tolstoy explores, with Russiaโ€™s feudal system and Franceโ€™s revolutionary conscription shaping their respective armies.

Note: These percentages are estimates based on historical data and demographic assumptions, as precise age-specific military participation rates are not fully documented. Variations across campaigns and years (e.g., 1812โ€“1814 being the deadliest) affect the figures.


Conscription is a type of forced labor. A citizen’s time is donated to the public good in exchange for some compensation (or at least room and board for the serfs). One can see why, in two hundred years, boots-on-the-ground warfare is unpopular. Too many human hours could be devoted to other public goods or to earning a wage in the commercial market. The opportunities to leverage capital even further should the young men choose to invest in education or learn a trade.

War also produces wounded. This can also shift the stage-of-life abilities of a young, able-bodied male. The labor costs of war are too dear.

Airport Expansion- Missoula Edition

I flew into Missoula today and the Montana Airport is wrapping up a major multi-phase expansion that reshapes regional travel and brings broader economic shifts in its wake. Here are some of the details:


The Physical Build-Out

  • Total Cost: Over $110 million for the full terminal expansion.
  • What’s New: New gates, expanded baggage claim, rental car lanes, security upgrades, and room for new routes and carriers.
  • Who’s Paying: a combo of the Feds and private interests
    • Federal: More than $50 million in grants, mostly from the Bipartisan Infrastructure Law.
    • State & Local: Matched funds from the Missoula Economic Partnership, businesses, and banksโ€”no local tax dollars used.
    • Recent Boost: A $6M federal grant (2024) will help complete the next terminal phase.

Skyward Travel Growth

  • Missoula set a passenger record in 2024: Over 1 million flyers, up nearly 12% from the year before.
  • Targeting 1.5 million by 2044 as travel demand soars.
  • Now offering more frequent flights and year-round service to Chicago, thanks to an $875k federal grant.

The Ripple Effects

๐Ÿ“š University of Montana Perks

  • Easier access = stronger recruitment, research partnerships, and conference travel.
  • Out-of-state students now find Missoula more reachable and appealing.

๐Ÿ˜๏ธ Housing Pressures

  • Expansion is fueling demand for housing, especially near the university and airport.
  • Rent hikes are real: Locals report steep increases, with โ€œaffordableโ€ now starting near $1600/month.
  • Development impact fees (passed on to buyers) may also be contributing to rising costs.

๐Ÿ’ผ Local Economy

  • Jobs during construction and in airport operations.
  • Tourism boost: More flights mean more visitors spending at hotels, restaurants, and shops.
  • Stronger air links help regional business and health access.

๐Ÿšง Challenges Ahead

  • Affordability squeeze: Residents and students are feeling the pinch from rising rents.
  • Infrastructure stress: More travelers and new residents will test city roads, utilities, and services.
  • Equity concerns: Growth must be balanced to include long-term residents and low-income communities.

Final Approach

Missoulaโ€™s airport expansion is more than a construction project โ€” itโ€™s a gateway to growth. With smart federal funding and local vision, the region is positioning itself for a more connected future. But keeping Missoula livable as it grows will take coordination on housing, transportation, and community needs. How would one go about making some projections? Estimates of impacts and time frames could be interesting to local public leaders.

Compare, Contrast, Visualize

This is an excerpt from my working paper, which examines how contemporary economic realities challenge conventional price formation models. Traditional price theory, rooted in neoclassical equilibrium models, struggles to explain modern markets characterized by digital platforms, behavioral anomalies, and network effects. Rather than viewing prices solely as equilibrium outcomes, this section explores price as an information system and coordination mechanism shaped by institutional contexts and evolutionary market processes, proposing alternative approaches that better capture the dynamic nature of pricing in today’s economy.

B. Comparative Analysis: Evaluating Theoretical Frameworks

This section provides a systematic comparative analysis of the proposed philosophical framework against conventional economic approaches to price theory. By examining how different theoretical perspectives conceptualize the relationship between price mechanisms and social dimensions, we can better understand both the limitations of current approaches and the potential advantages of the proposed integrated framework.

Conventional Economic Frameworks: The Separation Paradigm

Mainstream economic theory has predominantly operated within what might be termed a “separation paradigm” that artificially divorces economic processes from their social contexts. This approach has taken several forms, each with distinct philosophical underpinnings but sharing a common tendency to externalize social dimensions from core economic processes.

The neoclassical framework, beginning with Marshall (1890/1920) and formalized by Samuelson (1947), represents the most influential expression of this separation paradigm. This approach treats social costs and benefits as “externalities”โ€”phenomena that exist outside the market mechanism and require correction through policy intervention. As Pigou (1920) argued, these external effects constitute market failures that prevent the price system from achieving social optimality. While this framework recognizes the existence of social dimensions, it philosophically positions them as external to the fundamental operation of price mechanisms.

The public choice tradition, exemplified by Buchanan and Tullock (1962), maintains this separation while focusing on the strategic calculations of political actors. As Tullock (1965) argues in “The Politics of Bureaucracy,” individuals navigate institutional structures to advance their interests, with social dimensions treated as constraints within a fundamentally individualistic calculus. This approach offers valuable insights into how individuals respond to institutional incentives but maintains the philosophical separation between private calculations and social contexts.

The social capital literature, following its evolution from Loury (1976) through Coleman (1988) to Putnam (1993), increasingly adopted what might be termed an “instrumental network” approach. This perspective treats social connections as resources that individuals can access and deploy strategically, maintaining a philosophical separation between the autonomous individual and their social networks. While recognizing the importance of social factors, this approach treats them as external assets rather than constitutive elements of economic valuation itself.

The Integrated Framework: Embeddedness and Unified Valuation

In contrast to these separation paradigms, the proposed philosophical framework offers what might be termed an “integration paradigm” that recognizes price as inherently incorporating both private and social dimensions of value. This comparative analysis highlights several key distinctions:

1. Outcomes vs. Processes

Conventional frameworks focus predominantly on outcomesโ€”the results of market transactions as measured by efficiency or utility maximization. The Pigouvian approach to externalities exemplifies this orientation, focusing on the divergence between private and social outcomes while giving limited attention to the processes through which valuations emerge. Similarly, Coase’s (1960) analysis, while introducing the importance of transaction costs, maintains a focus on the efficient allocation of resources as the primary outcome of concern.

The proposed framework, in contrast, emphasizes processesโ€”the embedded social practices through which valuations emerge and evolve. Drawing on Zelizer’s (2012) analysis of how economic practices constitute social relationships, this approach recognizes that price mechanisms do not simply produce outcomes but actively construct social meanings and relationships. For example, the organic food market is understood not merely as generating a price premium that reflects environmental benefits but as constituting a set of social relationships and meanings around food production and consumption.

This distinction becomes particularly evident in analyzing wind turbine effects on property values. Where conventional frameworks focus on measuring the divergence between private and social costs as an outcome, the proposed framework examines how property valuations emerge through processes of social negotiation that inherently incorporate both dimensions. The hedonic price model becomes not merely a method for measuring externalities but a window into how social values become embedded in market valuations through processes of negotiation.

2. Calculation vs. Negotiation

Conventional frameworks conceptualize price formation primarily as a process of calculationโ€”the aggregation of individual utility functions or the balancing of marginal costs and benefits. As Becker (1976) argues, this approach extends the calculative paradigm to social domains by treating even non-market behaviors as the result of rational calculation. While powerful in its analytical clarity, this approach imposes an artificial separation between the calculating individual and the social context in which calculation occurs.

The proposed framework, drawing on Callon’s (1998) analysis of market devices, understands price formation as a process of negotiationโ€”the ongoing social construction of value through interaction. This perspective recognizes that prices do not simply reflect pre-existing preferences but actively constitute relationships and meanings. For instance, when a business owner decides to provide flu vaccinations, they are not merely calculating financial costs and benefits but negotiating a complex set of relationships among employees, customers, and the broader community.

This distinction helps explain why conventional approaches often struggle to account for phenomena like voluntary green premiums or corporate social responsibility initiatives. These practices make limited sense within a purely calculative framework but become comprehensible when understood as negotiations of meaning and relationship that inherently incorporate both private and social dimensions of value.

3. Autonomy vs. Interdependence

Conventional frameworks generally assume economic actors as fundamentally autonomousโ€”making decisions independently based on their preferences and constraints. This philosophical stance, most explicitly articulated in Arrow’s (1951) impossibility theorem, treats social choice as the aggregation of independent individual preferences rather than the expression of interdependent social relationships. Even when acknowledging social influences, this approach maintains a conceptual separation between the autonomous individual and their social environment.

The proposed framework recognizes economic actors as fundamentally interdependentโ€”embedded within networks of relationship that constitute both their understanding of value and their capacity for action. Drawing on Davis’s (2003) critique of the “separative self” in economics, this approach understands economic decisions as emerging from interconnected patterns of relationship rather than isolated individual calculations. When consumers pay premium prices for organic products, they are not making autonomous decisions but acting within interdependent networks of meaning and relationship that shape their understanding of value itself.

This distinction helps explain why conventional approaches often treat environmental values or social justice concerns as external to economic valuationโ€”they maintain a philosophical commitment to autonomous individuals whose interdependence is treated as secondary rather than constitutive. The proposed framework reverses this priority, recognizing interdependence as the fundamental condition from which economic valuations emerge.

4. Strategy vs. Meaning

Conventional frameworks typically conceptualize economic behavior as strategicโ€”actors making choices to advance their interests within given constraints. This understanding, exemplified in game-theoretic approaches to externalities (Dasgupta, 1982), treats social considerations as strategic factors within an essentially competitive calculus. While offering valuable insights into how individuals respond to incentives, this approach tends to reduce social dimensions to strategic considerations rather than recognizing them as constitutive of meaning itself.

The proposed framework understands economic behavior as inherently meaningfulโ€”constituting social relationships and identities through exchange. Drawing on Bruner’s (1990) concept of meaning-making, this approach recognizes that economic actions are not merely strategic moves but expressions of meaning that constitute social worlds. When a business owner provides flu vaccinations, they are not simply making a strategic calculation but participating in the construction of meaningful workplace relationships and identities.

This distinction helps explain why conventional approaches often struggle to account for the emotional and symbolic dimensions of economic behaviorโ€”they maintain a philosophical commitment to strategic rationality that marginalizes considerations of meaning. The proposed framework incorporates these dimensions as intrinsic to economic valuation rather than treating them as irrational anomalies or external constraints.

Comparative Empirical Implications

These philosophical distinctions generate substantively different empirical expectations and interpretations. Where conventional frameworks predict that social costs will appear as externalities requiring correction, the proposed framework predicts that market participants will often incorporate social dimensions into price mechanisms through their embedded decision-making processes.

The hedonic pricing model provides a useful comparative lens. Conventional approaches interpret price differentials near wind turbines as evidence of uncompensated externalities, emphasizing the divergence between private and social costs. The proposed framework interprets these same differentials as evidence that market participants are already incorporating social dimensions into their valuations, demonstrating the integrated nature of price mechanisms rather than their failure.

Similarly, the willingness of consumers to pay premium prices for environmentally friendly products receives different interpretations. Conventional frameworks treat this as either an anomaly requiring explanation through modified preference functions or as evidence of externality internalization through separate transactions. The proposed framework recognizes this behavior as the natural expression of embedded valuations that inherently incorporate both private and social dimensions.

Integration with Existing Economic Insights

While the proposed framework challenges fundamental aspects of conventional economic theory, it does not require rejecting valuable insights from existing approaches. Rather, it offers a philosophical foundation for integrating these insights within a more comprehensive understanding of how price mechanisms operate.

The framework incorporates Coase’s (1960) insight that transaction costs matter but extends this recognition to the social relationships that constitute economic exchange rather than treating them as external constraints. It integrates Arrow’s (1963) analysis of information asymmetries but recognizes that information itself is socially embedded rather than objectively given. It acknowledges Williamson’s (1975) focus on institutional structures but understands these structures as constitutive of economic behavior rather than merely constraining it.

This integrative approach offers potential pathways for resolving persistent theoretical tensions in economics. For example, the divide between behavioral economics’ empirical findings and neoclassical theoretical foundations becomes less problematic when economic behavior is understood as inherently embedded rather than anomalously constrained. Similarly, the tension between institutional and individual-focused approaches finds resolution in recognizing institutions as constitutive of rather than external to individual decision-making.

Comparative Philosophical Robustness

A final dimension of comparative analysis concerns philosophical robustnessโ€”the capacity of theoretical frameworks to accommodate complex realities without artificial simplification or ad hoc modifications. Conventional frameworks have demonstrated remarkable flexibility in addressing new empirical findings, but often at the cost of theoretical coherence. As anomalies emergeโ€”from voluntary carbon offsets to corporate social responsibilityโ€”these frameworks typically accommodate them through preference modifications or externality redefinitions that preserve the underlying separation paradigm.

The proposed framework offers greater philosophical robustness by recognizing the inherent integration of private and social dimensions in economic valuation. Rather than treating phenomena like green premiums or ethical investing as exceptions requiring special explanation, this approach understands them as natural expressions of the embedded nature of economic decision-making. This philosophical coherence allows the framework to accommodate diverse empirical realities without sacrificing theoretical integrity.

In summary, this comparative analysis demonstrates that the proposed philosophical framework offers substantive advantages over conventional approaches in understanding how social dimensions operate within price mechanisms. By shifting from outcomes to processes, calculation to negotiation, autonomy to interdependence, and strategy to meaning, this framework provides a more comprehensive and coherent account of how prices already incorporate social costs and benefitsโ€”not as external corrections but as intrinsic components of economic valuation itself.

Local Theater Facts

We just saw a super adaptation of Cabaret at the Guthrie Theater.

So I asked Grok for some observation about our theater community.

Yes, Minneapolis is widely recognized for its vibrant and robust theater culture, often considered one of the most significant in the United States, second only to New York City in terms of per capita theater attendance. The cityโ€™s theater scene is characterized by a mix of world-class professional theaters, diverse community and nonprofit theaters, and historic venues, supported by strong public funding and a theater-savvy audience. Below, I provide a detailed analysis of Minneapolisโ€™s theater culture, incorporating relevant insights from the provided web results and tying in governance aspects (e.g., government capacity to support cultural infrastructure) The response includes quantifiable outcomes where possible to align with your interest in measurable metrics.


Overview of Minneapolisโ€™s Theater Culture

Minneapolis, along with its Twin Cities neighbor St. Paul, boasts a thriving theater ecosystem that includes:

  • Major Professional Theaters: Iconic venues like the Guthrie Theater, Ordway Center for the Performing Arts, and Hennepin Artsโ€™ historic theaters (Orpheum, State, and Pantages) host Broadway tours, world-class productions, and original works.
  • Diverse and Inclusive Theaters: Companies like Penumbra Theatre (Black-focused), Theater Mu (Asian American), and Mixed Blood Theatre prioritize underrepresented voices, enhancing cultural richness.
  • Community and Nonprofit Theaters: Smaller venues like Jungle Theater, Theater Lattรฉ Da, and Childrenโ€™s Theatre Company cater to niche audiences, including young people and local communities.
  • Independent Movie Theaters: Venues like Riverview Theater and Parkway Theater blend cinema with live performances, adding to the cultural fabric.
  • Festivals and Events: The Minnesota Fringe Festival and events like Art-a-Whirl showcase experimental and local talent, drawing diverse audiences.

According to Amazing MN by Lee Lynch, cited in Meet Minneapolis, โ€œOn a per capita basis, the Twin Cities are second only to NYC in number of theater tickets soldโ€ (Pollstar). This highlights Minneapolisโ€™s exceptional theater attendance relative to its population of approximately 425,000 (2023 estimate). In 2022, U.S. nonprofit theaters, many concentrated in Minneapolis, had 16 million attendees, with the cityโ€™s theaters contributing significantly.


Key Features of Minneapolisโ€™s Theater Culture

  1. Major Venues and Their Impact:
    • Guthrie Theater: Located at 818 South 2nd Street, the Guthrie is a cultural landmark designed by Jean Nouvel, featuring three performance spaces and hosting everything from Shakespeare to modern masterpieces. It attracts national attention, with popular shows often selling out. Its 2025โ€“2026 season includes productions like Cabaret, noted for its โ€œexplosive and dazzlingโ€ quality. The Guthrieโ€™s economic impact includes millions in annual revenue from ticket sales and tourism.
    • Hennepin Theatre District: Comprising the Orpheum (2,579 seats), State (2,181 seats), and Pantages (900 seats), these historic theaters, built between 1916 and 1921, host Broadway tours, concerts, and comedy. The Orpheum, restored in 1993 for $10 million, premiered shows like Disneyโ€™s The Lion King. Hennepin Arts, a nonprofit, manages these venues, ensuring accessibility through open booking.
    • Ordway Center for the Performing Arts: Located in St. Paul, itโ€™s home to the Minnesota Opera and Saint Paul Chamber Orchestra, hosting Broadway tours and original productions. It contributes to the Twin Citiesโ€™ reputation as a premier arts center.
    • Childrenโ€™s Theatre Company (CTC): The nationโ€™s largest and most acclaimed theater for young audiences, CTC won the Tony Award for Best Regional Theater. It serves preschoolers to teens, premiering works like A Year with Frog and Toad.
  2. Diverse and Inclusive Theaters:
    • Penumbra Theatre: Founded in 1976, itโ€™s one of only three professional African American theaters in the U.S. with a full season, focusing on the African-American experience. It also offers educational programs and equity trainings.
    • Theater Mu: The second-largest Asian American theater organization in the U.S., Theater Mu produces works celebrating AAPI stories, such as SIXPACK, a play about Hmong volleyball culture. It fosters community through performances and student ensembles.
    • Mixed Blood Theatre: Founded in 1976, it emphasizes inclusivity, featuring disabled, trans, Somali, and Latinx artists. It aims to make theater accessible to marginalized communities.
    • Ten Thousand Things: This company brings theater to underserved audiences (e.g., homeless shelters, correctional facilities) by performing in simple settings with lights on, ensuring inclusivity.
    • Jungle Theater: Known for gender inclusivity and diverse casts, it produces new works like SIXPACK and supports local playwrights. Its 2019โ€“2020 season featured all-female directors and/or playwrights.
  3. Independent and Community Theaters:
    • Smaller venues like Theater Lattรฉ Da (Northeast Minneapolis) focus on musical theater, winning national awards for innovative productions.
    • The Parkway Theater, a 1930s art deco venue, combines films with live performances, hosting themed movie nights and comedy events. Tickets range from $9โ€“$12, making it accessible.
    • Theatre in the Round, operating since 1952, offers affordable tickets and community-driven productions.
    • The Southern Theater and Illusion Theater focus on experimental and socially driven works, often touring to schools and communities.
  4. Public Funding and Government Capacity:
    • Minnesota leads the U.S. in per capita public arts funding, spending $9.62 per person in 2024, enabling theaters to thrive in smaller population bases. Strong public funding reduces the population needed to sustain theaters, as subsidies offset operational costs.
    • The Minnesota State Arts Board provides operating support grants, funded by legislative appropriations, which Hennepin Arts and other organizations utilize to maintain historic venues and support new works.
    • Rothsteinโ€™s Impartiality Index is relevant here, as Minnesotaโ€™s equitable distribution of arts funding ensures diverse theaters (e.g., Penumbra, Theater Mu) receive support, fostering inclusivity and cultural vitality.
  5. Audience Engagement and Economic Impact:
    • Minneapolisโ€™s theater scene draws 16 million annual attendees to nonprofit theaters nationwide, with the Twin Cities contributing a significant share. The Guthrie alone generates millions in ticket sales and tourism revenue, with shows like Cabaret attracting diverse audiences.
    • The cityโ€™s theaters are known for standing ovations, reflecting a โ€œtheater-savvyโ€ audience, as noted by performer Betty Buckley at the Orpheum.
    • The economic impact includes job creation (e.g., actors, technicians, front-of-house staff) and tourism, with visitors spending on dining and lodging near venues like the Guthrie, located in the Mill District.

Quantifiable Outcomes

Drawing on your interest in quantifiable outcomes and scholars like Kaufmann, Rothstein, and Muralidharan:

  • Attendance Metrics:
    • Nonprofit theaters in the U.S. had 16 million attendees in 2022, with Minneapolisโ€™s theaters (e.g., Guthrie, CTC) contributing significantly. For example, the Guthrieโ€™s three stages host ~400,000 attendees annually across 100โ€“150 performances.
    • The Orpheumโ€™s opening week in 1921 drew 70,000 guests, and modern Broadway tours attract 2,000โ€“2,500 per show.
  • Economic Impact:
    • Minnesotaโ€™s theater market is worth $9 billion, with ~4,000 theater businesses, many in Minneapolis. This reflects Northโ€™s concept of institutional efficiency, as theaters drive economic activity through contracts and tourism.
    • The Guthrie and Hennepin Arts venues generate millions in ticket sales and local spending (e.g., $15 parking at Riverfront Ramp, dining at nearby restaurants like Fogo de Chao).
  • Public Funding Efficiency:
    • Minnesotaโ€™s $9.62 per capita arts funding (highest in the U.S.) supports theaters in populations as small as 20,000โ€“50,000, compared to 50,000โ€“100,000 elsewhere, aligning with Kaufmann and Kraayโ€™s Government Effectiveness (high scores enable cultural infrastructure).
    • Rothsteinโ€™s Impartiality Index suggests Minnesotaโ€™s equitable funding allocation (e.g., to Penumbra, Theater Mu) ensures diverse theaters thrive, with measurable outcomes like sold-out runs (e.g., Interactโ€™s Hot Funky Butt Jazz).
  • Service Delivery Metrics (Muralidharanโ€™s lens):
    • Efficient bureaucracies streamline permitting and funding, reducing operational costs for theaters. For example, the Minneapolis Community Development Agencyโ€™s purchase and restoration of the Orpheum in 1988 enabled large-scale productions, boosting attendance and revenue.

Population Base and Theater Sustainability in Minneapolis

Your earlier question about the population needed to support a theater is highly relevant here. Minneapolisโ€™s population of ~425,000, combined with the Twin Cities metro area (~3.7 million), easily supports its large theater culture. However:

  • Smaller Theaters: Community theaters like Jungle or Theatre in the Round can thrive with 5,000โ€“20,000 people in their catchment area, especially with public funding. Minnesotaโ€™s $9.62 per capita arts spending lowers this threshold compared to less-funded regions.
  • Major Theaters: The Guthrie and Orpheum require 50,000โ€“200,000 to fill their 2,000+ seats regularly, but Minneapolisโ€™s metro area and tourism (e.g., near Stone Arch Bridge, U.S. Bank Stadium) ensure viability.
  • Independent Movie Theaters: Venues like Riverview or Parkway need ~10,000โ€“20,000 in their immediate area (3โ€“5-mile radius) but benefit from Minneapolisโ€™s cultural draw and niche programming (e.g., cult classics, sing-alongs).

The cityโ€™s strong government capacity, as measured by Kaufmann and Kraayโ€™s Government Effectiveness Index, enables subsidies and infrastructure (e.g., skyway access to Orpheum and State Theaters), reducing the population needed compared to less-supported regions.


Why Minneapolis Stands Out

  • Historical Investment: Minneapolis has restored historic theaters (e.g., Orpheum, State, Pantages) since the 1980s, with public-private partnerships ensuring longevity. The Minneapolis Plan for Arts and Culture, updated regularly, formalizes support for venues like the Northeast Arts District.
  • Cultural Diversity: Theaters like Penumbra, Theater Mu, and Mixed Blood reflect Minneapolisโ€™s commitment to inclusivity, aligning with Rothsteinโ€™s emphasis on impartial governance to support marginalized communities.
  • Audience Engagement: Posts on X highlight Minneapolisโ€™s โ€œwarm, theatre-savvyโ€ audience, with standing ovations common and performers like Betty Buckley noting the cityโ€™s enthusiasm.
  • National Recognition: Minneapolis is the third-largest theater market in the U.S., behind New York and Chicago, with over 400 stages across Minnesota. The Twin Citiesโ€™ reputation as a โ€œpremier arts centerโ€ is bolstered by awards (e.g., CTCโ€™s Tony, Theater Lattรฉ Daโ€™s Drama Desk).

Challenges and Considerations

  • Competition: Streaming services and nearby venues (e.g., St. Paulโ€™s Ordway) split audiences, requiring theaters to diversify (e.g., Parkwayโ€™s live events, Guthrieโ€™s community programming).
  • Gentrification: The Warehouse Districtโ€™s rising rents in the 1980sโ€“1990s displaced some artists, though areas like Northeast Minneapolis remain vibrant arts hubs.
  • Economic Viability: Smaller theaters rely on donations and grants (e.g., Jungle Theaterโ€™s community funding model), while larger venues need consistent attendance to cover high production costs.

Conclusion

Minneapolis is undeniably known for its large and vibrant theater culture, rivaling major U.S. cities on a per capita basis. Its ecosystem of professional, community, and independent theaters, supported by venues like the Guthrie, Orpheum, and Theater Mu, draws millions annually and contributes to a $9 billion industry. The cityโ€™s high per capita arts funding ($9.62 in 2024) and efficient governance, as emphasized by scholars like Fukuyama (state capacity), Kaufmann and Kraay (Government Effectiveness), and Rothstein (impartiality), enable theaters to thrive with smaller population bases than typical (e.g., 5,000โ€“20,000 for community theaters vs. 50,000+ elsewhere). Quantifiable outcomes include 16 million annual nonprofit theater attendees, millions in economic impact, and sold-out runs for diverse productions. Minneapolisโ€™s theater-savvy audience and historic venues make it a cultural powerhouse.

Collective Nouns, Collective Verbs?

Language forms how we think. There are words to express the groupings of animals. But what about a verb for the action groups take? I suppose there’s a swarm of bees. The verb here describes a relocation action, where a hive becomes overcrowded and the collective of yellow insects moves in unison to a new abode.

I’m thinking of words for gestures of goodwill. Like, he spent his time goodwilling in his retirement. Or actions that contribute to the operations of a K-12 school. Like, some of them did the PTAing and others did the fieldtripping. Or what about the amateur antiquity seekers– Are they public-heritaging?

You might say, why does it matter? Why is it necessary to describe what a group does, instead of the sum of what individuals do?

You’ll note that the collective bird names bear little resemblance to the actual birds. Because one bird can come and go. It occupies a considerable amount of space and moves in a specific manner. But a group of birds exists whether one of its members comes or goes. A group of birds may move in a patterned flight. A group of birds is a vastly different thing than fifty individual birds added together.

Groups have an identity and a role all their own. Their actions deserve words.

Cheers! Diane gets bought out

Woke killed comedy for more than a decade. It’s coming back now, but it’s been a long dry spell. So, I’ve turned to Cheers for a bit of light viewing, and it is much better than I remember. Or I am in a better position to appreciate the skill and nuance of Sam, Diane, and all the regulars.

In Season 1, Episode 18, we see Diane gradually being brought out of her lofty principles. At first, the decisions are calculated. By the end of the episode, she relents in sheer pleasure.

And to top it off, national icon, Speaker of the House Tip O’Neill, starts off the show.

Differences between Private and Public

In the video from yesterday’s post, Fukuyama focuses on how to improve government services. He notes that one must first recognize the differences between the private and public sectors

  1. Private firms can go bankrupt- public cannot. Incentives perform
  2. Subject to mandates- matrix of provisions healthy water, plentiful
  3. Cannot retain earnings, and thus, no profit incentive
  4. Worker relations are subject to multiple demands and protections

I’m wondering, though, whether it would be valuable to look through these differences, not from the perspective of trying to fit public goods into the private mold, but rather from the perspective of why certain goods fall into upon the public conscience.

For instance, there’s no bankruptcy in government because the supply of these services is too important to have them fail. If a shoe producer sets her factory to make 5000 shoes that no one buys, and this closes her down, then she might take the hint that she’s not good at shoes. No harm except to her pocketbook.

However, when a fire consumes a building, people want firefighters to show up. People want the police to break up fights, and they want clean water to come out of their pipes, without fail. People don’t want to be tested by start-ups that make imprudent decisions. The goods and services that fall under formalized government are there because they are deemed necessary for a certain standard of living.

So, if the threat of bankruptcy is gone, what is another threat that would incentivize the bureaucracy to a higher level of performance? Let’s go to #2 first and see how things unfold.

Fukuyama argues that governments are subject to multiple mandates, whereas private companies can focus solely on generating profits. The water department is not only producing clean potable water, but they also must make provisions for vulnerable people on the edge of financial distress. I wonder if this is because goods that tend to fall into the public sphere are those expected by a group– not only do the parents want water, but the kids and the seniors. With a wide range of participants in a group, some are bound to be less capable than others. The relationships, however, dictate the standard that everyone is expected to receive.

Although the group values consistency, they also desire affordability. So this isn’t a realm of profits and retained earnings. The idea is to meet the standard at the least possible expense instead of creating something fantastic and interesting that everyone will throw money at you to obtain. The fact that departments must return their unspent budgets, however, might be a policy flaw. But that topic is for another day.

It shouldn’t be surprising that the environment subject to providing goods and services under multiple mandates cloaks their employment contract with the same tribal protections. It has long been understood that public servants earn less than private sector employees but have greater job stability and larger pension benefits. Fukuyama feels this is a drawback in pressing for higher performance on the job. And perhaps that’s right.

So, it seems the trick for improved performance in the public sphere is three-fold. First off, only those services that are suited to the no-bankruptcy nature of things should fall to the public. If it is an unfettered good, let the private sector figure it out. Secondly, figure out how to measure the group as a whole or the individual. Individuals really don’t matter in and of themselves; only the group counts. Incentivize people as members of the group, give them pride in that, and tucked away social capital over and above the dollars safely sitting in their pension funds.

First Favorite

Let me introduce my first favorite public intellectual:

Iโ€™ve been a fan of Francis Fukuyama for a very long timeโ€” since I was in my teens. Heโ€™s the first intellectual who spoke non-biased speak and in doing so opened his intellectual pursuits to me. It wasnโ€™t just that he spoke without condescension, he always pulls together the most pertinent information and delivers it in a straightforward and understandable manner.

Community labor for the Turtles

A new app called TurtlTracker is being developed by Minnesota sisters Kelly Olson and Katie O’Halloran to help track turtles, including their movements and road mortality, and it is currently in beta testing in Minnesota. The app aims to use artificial intelligence to flag turtle hotspots, though the exact locations won’t be shared with users to protect data security. This app is expected to launch in July. 

The local news did a segment on the sisters and their aim to save the turtles. They showed a booth set up in a park where the sisters were discussing the app with kids and their parents. It’s a valiant goal, and so thought the crowd that had gathered.

Citizen Science Mapping: The TurtlTracker app will utilize citizen science to collect data on turtle sightings and mobility. If you’re interested in contributing to this type of project, you could potentially help create a more comprehensive map of turtle activity in Plymouth, MN and the surrounding areas.

The ability to tap energy for a cause can be a potent lever of private efforts in support of communal causes.

TurtlTracker will be able to provide you with a number on this:- how many volunteer hours are spent to keep the leatherbacks safe?

Empty Houses

Some claim a housing crisis is underway, but I’m not so sure. If the pressure for homes were severe, one would expect most properties to be occupied, leaving others stranded without a place to go. Vacancy rates provide us with additional information. An article by LendingTree, 14.9 Million Homes Are Vacant in the US โ€” Here Are the States With the Highest Vacancy Rates, provides a great overview of the topic.

Vacancy rates differ significantly depending on where you look in the country. If youโ€™re looking at Maine, youโ€™ll find the highest vacancy rate in the country โ€” 21.09% (157,467 vacant homes), according to our analysis of the U.S. Census Bureau 2023 American Community Survey (ACS) with five-year estimates. Following Maine at the top is Vermont, with a 20.06% vacancy rate (67,606 vacant homes), and Alaska, with an 18.24% vacancy rate (59,745 vacant homes). 

Together, these three states account for nearly 285,000 vacant homes โ€” out of 14.9 million vacant homes nationwide.

Nationally, the vacancy rate is much lower than that of these three states, with the U.S. average sitting at 10.43% โ€” a figure that translates into nearly 15 million vacant homes. While that may sound like a lot, it may not feel like it if youโ€™re searching for a place to live. Thatโ€™s because not all of those properties are available to rent or buy. 

In addition to seasonal and vacation homes, others are classified as vacant because theyโ€™re in transition โ€” those that are rented but not occupied and sold but not occupied. Homes for migrant workers, which they occupy during crop season, are also classified as vacant.

Minnesota, as is often the case, is just average. There are 236,571 homes vacant, which, in percentage terms, is 9.39%

The article cites a list of reasons why a home could be vacant. It might be a second home or vacation property. It might be in a transition state from either a remodel or a relocation of residents. Sometimes people hang onto properties for emotional reasons, such as a family tie to the land.

But note, in any case, that there is a variation between the states. Real estate is local. National generalizations about the state of housing are often dumbed down and not particularly helpful.

Chris Arnade’s city terms

Chris Arnade is a city walker and a people watcher. He recounts his impressions on his Substack, Walking the World. Recently, he participated in a conversation on Conversations with Tyler, which is well worth listening to for those who travel to learn and love to travel.

There were several terms in the conversation which I will be using more frequently in references to city life. The first one is best described in a photo.

  1. Organic Street Life
  2. Localized Distribution- “Meaning there’s always a shop somewhere.”
  3. The Normal Experience- As in this passage:

Then I started saying, โ€œWell, I should . . .โ€ When I was in Brooklyn, I walked the entire length of the New York subway system above ground. Iโ€™ve always been into walking, and I just realized, โ€œHey I can just . . .โ€ I think I was looking at a table that about 1.5 billion people live in massive cities that we really donโ€™t know the names, these big sprawling Jakartas. Iโ€™m like, โ€œI would like to see that.โ€

COWEN: Yes, agreed.

ARNADE: Thatโ€™s the normal experience for most people, and so I just started. I booked a trip to Jakarta and just started walking Jakarta.

The normal experience is where all the cool data is. What’s to be done with extraordinary events? They simply are not that interesting except for daily fodder.

That was thenโ€” maintenance considerations edition

Covered bridges were built for several practical reasons, primarily in the 19th and early 20th centuries:

1. Structural Protection: The covering shielded the wooden bridge framework from weather like rain, snow, and sun, which could cause rot, warping, or cracking. This extended the bridgeโ€™s lifespan significantly, often by decades.

2. Durability and Maintenance: By protecting the load-bearing timbers, covers reduced maintenance costs and the need for frequent repairs, which was crucial in rural areas with limited resources.

3. Safety for Travelers and Livestock: The roof and sides provided shelter for travelers during storms and kept the bridge deck dry, reducing slip hazards for people, horses, and wagons. It also calmed livestock crossing narrow bridges over rivers.

4. Snow Management: In snowy regions, covers prevented heavy snow accumulation on the deck, which could weaken the structure or make it impassable. Some bridges had sloped roofs to shed snow easily.

5. Aesthetic and Cultural Value: Over time, covered bridges became iconic, with communities taking pride in their design. They often featured unique architectural styles, reflecting local craftsmanship.

6. Economic Considerations: While adding a cover increased initial costs, the long-term savings from reduced maintenance and replacement made it a cost-effective choice for wooden bridges.

Most covered bridges were built in North America, especially in the U.S. (e.g., New England, Pennsylvania) and Canada, where timber was abundant, and weather was harsh.

Let Grok decide for a win

Q: For a 4-5 day trip would it be best to go to northern Italy or Athens area keeping in mind historical significance?

Both Northern Italy and the Athens area are rich in historical significance, but they offer distinct experiences. Hereโ€™s a concise comparison to help you decide for a 4-5 day trip, focusing on historical highlights, accessibility, and suitability for a short visit in June 2025.

Northern Italy (e.g., Venice, Florence, Milan, or Verona)

  • Historical Significance: Northern Italy is a cradle of Renaissance art, architecture, and history.
    • Venice: Iconic canals, St. Markโ€™s Basilica (9th century), Dogeโ€™s Palace, and a unique maritime history.
    • Florence: Birthplace of the Renaissance, with the Uffizi Gallery, Florence Cathedral (Duomo), and Medici legacy.
    • Milan: Home to Leonardo da Vinciโ€™s Last Supper, the Gothic Duomo, and Roman remnants like the Columns of San Lorenzo.
    • Verona: Roman Arena (1st century AD), medieval architecture, and Shakespearean ties (Julietโ€™s House).
    • These cities offer a blend of Roman, medieval, and Renaissance history, with world-class art and architecture.
  • Pros for a Short Trip:
    • Compact cities like Venice and Florence are walkable, with major historical sites close together.
    • Efficient high-speed trains (e.g., Trenitalia) connect Milan, Verona, Venice, and Florence (1-2 hours between each), allowing you to visit 2 cities in 4-5 days.
    • Diverse experiences: Veniceโ€™s Byzantine influence, Florenceโ€™s Renaissance art, Milanโ€™s Roman and modern mix.
    • June weather is warm (70-80ยฐF) and ideal for exploring outdoor sites like piazzas and canals.
  • Cons:
    • Crowds in Venice and Florence can be intense in June, especially at major sites (e.g., Uffizi, St. Markโ€™s). Pre-booking tickets is essential.
    • Covering multiple cities requires planning to avoid feeling rushed.
    • Venice can be expensive for accommodations; Florence and Verona are more budget-friendly.
  • Sample Itinerary (4 Days):
    • Day 1: Arrive in Venice. Visit St. Markโ€™s Square, Dogeโ€™s Palace, Rialto Bridge.
    • Day 2: Venice (Gondola ride, Murano glass tour). Afternoon train to Florence (1.5-2 hrs).
    • Day 3: Florence. Duomo, Uffizi Gallery, Ponte Vecchio.
    • Day 4: Florence (Accademia for Michelangeloโ€™s David). Optional half-day trip to Pisa or depart.
    • Add a 5th day: Visit Verona (Roman Arena, Julietโ€™s House) en route to Milan or Venice.

Athens Area (Athens and Nearby Sites)

  • Historical Significance: Athens is the birthplace of Western civilization, with unparalleled ancient Greek history.
    • Athens: The Acropolis (Parthenon, 5th century BC), Agora, Temple of Olympian Zeus, and world-class museums (Acropolis Museum, National Archaeological Museum).
    • Nearby Sites: Day trips to Delphi (ancient oracle, 2.5 hrs by car/bus), Sounion (Temple of Poseidon, 1 hr), or Aegina Island (Temple of Aphaia, 1 hr by ferry).
    • Offers a deep dive into ancient Greece, democracy, philosophy, and mythology, with well-preserved ruins.
  • Pros for a Short Trip:
    • Athens is compact, with most historical sites (Acropolis, Agora, Plaka) within walking distance or a short metro ride.
    • Day trips to Delphi or Sounion add variety without needing to change hotels.
    • June weather is warm (75-85ยฐF) but manageable for sightseeing, especially early mornings.
    • Fewer logistical challenges than multi-city Italy; you can base yourself in Athens and explore deeply.
    • Generally more budget-friendly than Northern Italy for accommodations and dining.
  • Cons:
    • Less variety in historical periods compared to Italy (mostly ancient Greek, some Byzantine).
    • Some areas around Athens (e.g., Omonia) can feel less polished; stick to Plaka or Monastiraki for charm.
    • Day trips like Delphi require 5-6 hours round-trip, eating into a short itinerary.
  • Sample Itinerary (4 Days):
    • Day 1: Arrive in Athens. Acropolis, Parthenon, Acropolis Museum.
    • Day 2: Athens. Ancient Agora, Temple of Olympian Zeus, Plaka stroll.
    • Day 3: Day trip to Delphi (Oracle, Temple of Apollo) or Sounion (Temple of Poseidon).
    • Day 4: National Archaeological Museum, Monastiraki market. Depart.
    • Add a 5th day: Ferry to Aegina for the Temple of Aphaia or relax at a nearby beach.

Recommendation

  • Choose Northern Italy if:
    • You prefer a mix of historical periods (Roman, medieval, Renaissance) and diverse art/architecture.
    • You enjoy vibrant, walkable cities with varied aesthetics (canals, piazzas, cathedrals).
    • Youโ€™re comfortable with a fast-paced itinerary to see 2 cities (e.g., Venice + Florence).
    • Best for: Art lovers, architecture enthusiasts, and those wanting a multi-city experience.
    • Tip: Focus on Venice and Florence for historical depth; pre-book Uffizi and Dogeโ€™s Palace tickets.
  • Choose Athens if:
    • Youโ€™re fascinated by ancient history, Greek mythology, and iconic ruins like the Parthenon.
    • You prefer a single-base trip with optional day trips, reducing travel logistics.
    • You want a slightly more relaxed pace and budget-friendly options.
    • Best for: History buffs, archaeology fans, and those seeking a deep dive into one culture.
    • Tip: Book Acropolis tickets in advance; visit early to avoid heat and crowds.

Verdict: For historical significance in a 4-5 day trip, Athens edges out slightly for its concentrated, world-defining ancient sites and easier logistics. Base yourself in Athens, explore the Acropolis and museums, and take a day trip to Delphi or Sounion. However, if Renaissance art and multi-city charm excite you more, Northern Italy (Venice + Florence) is equally compelling but requires tighter planning.

If you share your preferences (e.g., specific historical interests, budget, or travel style), I can refine this further!

Largest Manhunt

It’s been a Fargo-esque few days in the North Star State. For those few of you who may have been out of social media’s reach, a lone gunman, impersonating a police man, entered the homes of two local politicians in the early morning hours of June 14th, putting one couple in the hospital with multiple gunshot wounds, and leaving the other couple deceased. It’s tragic. It still does not seem real. Story.

The suspect was apprehended in a rural area yesterday evening and is now behind bars. The landscape is a mix of fields and woods. One Twitter account claimed that the hundreds of law enforcement officers scouring the land on foot were tipped off by a hunter’s deer cam. These handy devices are motion-triggered and designed to give sportsmen an idea of what is clamoring around the woods at night.

This time, the prey was up on two feet. And fortunately, surrendered peacefully to law enforcement.

Thomas Sowell says

โ€œEconomics is more than just a way to see patterns or to unravel puzzling anomalies. Its fundamental concern is with the material standard of living of society as a whole and how that is affected by particular decisions made by individuals and institutions. One of the ways of doing this is to look at economic policies and economic systems in terms of the incentives they create, rather than simply the goals they pursue. This means that consequences matter more than intentionsโ€”and not just the immediate consequences, but also the longer run repercussions of decisions, policies, and institutions.โ€

This quote is from Basic Economics, A Common Sense Guide to the Economy. There are pages of quotes from this great economist on goodreads.

Theoretical Innovation

This is an excerpt from my working paper, which examines how contemporary economic realities challenge conventional price formation models. Traditional price theory, rooted in neoclassical equilibrium models, struggles to explain modern markets characterized by digital platforms, behavioral anomalies, and network effects. Rather than viewing prices solely as equilibrium outcomes, this section explores price as an information system and coordination mechanism shaped by institutional contexts and evolutionary market processes, proposing alternative approaches that better capture the dynamic nature of pricing in todayโ€™s economy.


IV. Theoretical Innovation

A. Proposed Philosophical Framework: Embeddedness and the Integrated Price Mechanism

This research proposes a fundamental reconceptualization of price theory through the lens of embeddednessโ€”a philosophical framework that recognizes economic transactions as inherently situated within social contexts rather than artificially separated from them. Building on Polanyi’s (1944/2001) foundational insight that economic activities are embedded in social relations, this framework advances a more integrated understanding of price mechanisms, where Price = Private Value + Social Cost represents not an external correction but an inherent reality of market functioning.

From Agency to Embeddedness: Reconceptualizing Economic Decision-Making

The traditional economic paradigm has privileged what might be termed an “agency perspective,” positioning economic actors as autonomous decision-makers pursuing clearly defined goals within a social environment that remains largely unexamined. As Williamson (1975) argued, economic institutions are primarily understood as mechanisms for facilitating the efficient pursuit of individual interests. This philosophical stance has produced valuable insights regarding allocative efficiency but has simultaneously constrained our understanding of how social dimensions operate within economic systems.

The proposed philosophical framework shifts toward what Granovetter (1985) terms “embeddedness”โ€”recognizing that economic actions are fundamentally situated within, shaped by, and constitutive of social relationships. This shift allows us to transcend the artificial analytical separation between “economic” and “social” factors that has characterized mainstream economic theory since Marshall (1890/1920). Rather than viewing social dimensions as external influences or constraints on otherwise autonomous economic decisions, this framework recognizes them as intrinsic elements of economic valuation itself.

This perspective transforms our understanding of price mechanisms in several crucial ways. First, it reconceptualizes economic actors not as isolated utility-maximizers but as socially embedded individuals whose preferences and valuations inherently incorporate social dimensions. Second, it reframes markets not as abstract coordination mechanisms but as socially constructed institutions that reflect and reinforce collective values. Third, it reconsiders price formation not as the aggregation of purely private valuations but as complex negotiations of value that intrinsically include social dimensions.

The Philosophical Roots of Integrated Price Theory

The proposed framework draws upon several philosophical traditions that have remained underutilized in economic theory. First, it builds upon Heidegger’s (1927/1962) concept of “being-in-the-world” (Dasein), which emphasizes that human existence is inherently contextual rather than abstracted. Economic actors do not stand apart from their social worlds, making calculations from an objective distance; rather, they are always already embedded within networks of meaning and relationship that constitute their understanding of value itself.

Second, it incorporates insights from feminist economic philosophy, particularly Nelson’s (2006) critique of the separative self that has dominated economic theory. As Nelson argues, the conception of autonomous economic agents making decisions in isolation represents a philosophical fiction that obscures the relational nature of economic life. The proposed framework recognizes that economic valuations emerge from interconnected patterns of relationship rather than isolated individual calculations.

Third, the framework engages with Dewey’s (1922) pragmatist understanding of valuation as an active process embedded in concrete situations rather than an abstract mental operation. Dewey’s insight that values are not pre-given but emerge through contextual engagement allows us to understand how social dimensions are naturally incorporated into price mechanisms through the situated practical reasoning of market participants.

Price as Social Institution: Beyond the Private-Social Dichotomy

Central to this philosophical framework is a reconceptualization of price itself. Rather than viewing price as an essentially private valuation that occasionally requires correction for social factors, this framework understands price as what Searle (1995) terms a “social institution”โ€”a collectively constituted reality that inherently incorporates both individual and social dimensions of value.

This understanding transcends the conventional dichotomy between private and social costs by recognizing that economic actors themselves do not experience this distinction in practice. When a business owner decides to provide flu vaccinations for employees, they are not separately calculating private benefits and then adding social considerations; rather, their valuation process inherently incorporates both dimensions simultaneously. Similarly, when consumers pay premium prices for organic products, they are not engaging in two separate transactionsโ€”one for the product and one for social benefitsโ€”but rather expressing a unified valuation that intrinsically includes both dimensions.

This philosophical reframing has profound implications for economic theory. It suggests that what conventional economics has termed “externalities” are not phenomena that exist outside price mechanisms but rather aspects of value that have been artificially excluded from economic analysis through reductive theoretical frameworks. The problem lies not in market failures but in conceptual failures that have prevented us from recognizing how social dimensions are already incorporated into price through the embedded decision-making of market participants.

Reconceptualizing Social Capital: From Linear Networks to Embedded Fields

This philosophical framework also offers a path to recover and extend Loury’s (1976) original insights regarding social capital. Loury’s conceptualization of social capital as a group-contained phenomenon recognized the embedded nature of economic opportunities, particularly in his analysis of racial income differences. However, as this concept evolved through Coleman (1988), Putnam (1993), and Lin (2001), it increasingly adopted a more individualistic framework that treated social capital as a resource that individuals could access and deploy rather than a field of relationships in which they were embedded.

The proposed framework returns to Loury’s original insight but extends it further by drawing on Bourdieu’s (1986) understanding of social capital as operating within fields of practice rather than through linear networks. This perspective allows us to recognize how price mechanisms operate not through the aggregation of isolated individual preferences but through complexly embedded fields of valuation that inherently incorporate social dimensions.

By reconceptualizing social capital as an embedded field rather than a networkable resource, we can better understand how social costs and benefits become intrinsically incorporated into price mechanisms. The business owner considering flu vaccinations operates within a field of practice that includes employee health, customer relations, and institutional normsโ€”all of which inform their valuation process not as external considerations but as constitutive elements of their economic reasoning.

From Calculation to Negotiation: Price as Social Process

A final philosophical dimension of this framework involves shifting from understanding price as the result of individual calculations to recognizing it as emerging from processes of social negotiation. Drawing on Zelizer’s (2012) concept of “relational work,” this perspective recognizes that prices do not simply reflect pre-existing valuations but actively constitute social relationships and meanings.

This shift helps us understand why organic food commands premium pricesโ€”not simply because consumers have calculated private benefits and added social considerations, but because the price itself represents a negotiation of meaning that constitutes both economic value and social relationships. The organic certification standard functions as what Star and Griesemer (1989) term a “boundary object”โ€”a shared reference point that enables coordination across different social worlds without requiring consensus about precise meanings.

This understanding of price as social negotiation rather than mere calculation provides a philosophical foundation for reconceptualizing how social dimensions operate within market mechanisms. It allows us to recognize that what conventional economics treats as externalities are often aspects of value that have been excluded from analysis through theoretical frameworks that reduce price to calculation rather than recognizing it as negotiation.

In summary, the proposed philosophical framework shifts from agency to embeddedness, from calculation to negotiation, and from understanding price as an aggregation of private values to recognizing it as a social institution that inherently incorporates both private and social dimensions. This framework provides the philosophical foundation for reconceptualizing price theory in a way that transcends artificial separations between economic and social valuations.

Ownership Preferred

Lists are fun, especially when your team is ranked at the top of the list. In this case, Apartment List pulled data from the Census to show that homeownership is the highest amongst Millennials in our area. Over 50 percent of folks in the 29-44 age range choose to own their homes rather than rent them.

Apartment List

Many will say that this is about price, as residents in San Jose and LA โ€”cities at the bottom of the list โ€”don’t own homes due to the high prices. And that’s a broad stroke, likely to be true, observation. But the list is long, and there are many other cities between the two extremes. So what else makes for a culture of ownership?

I’ve worked with some first-time buyers who don’t end up buying, and this is what seems to play on their minds. They are afraid they will lose the house in foreclosure. Someone close to them, perhaps even more than one, lost a home to creditors, and the negative experience frightens them. Second, they are afraid they will buy a lemon. Homes are complex, comprising many components. It’s easy to feel overwhelmed with the responsibility of keeping it all running smoothly. Lastly, they are afraid of adversarial neighbors.

Here’s a further breakdown of homeownership rates amongst all age groups in Minnesota.

MN Homeownership Report

I speculate that the last group has a homeownership rate of 77% because of the following factors. Low foreclosure rates keep the negative and traumatic experience of losing a home out of people’s lives. Since many residents grew up in owner-occupied households and experienced the ups and downs of repairs throughout their lives. They also have these folks in their lives to turn to for guidance. If the buyer has lived locally for most of their lives, they gravitate toward areas where they find the family and friends.

Minnesota rarely experiences the dramatic price swings that are more frequent in the coastal states. Hence, real estate tends to be a stable and reliable source of equity. People buy for pride of ownership and independence as well as frugality.

Emily Dickinson

โ€œHopeโ€ is the thing with feathers -
That perches in the soul -
And sings the tune without the words -
And never stops - at all -

And sweetest - in the Gale - is heard -
And sore must be the storm -
That could abash the little Bird
That kept so many warm -

Iโ€™ve heard it in the chillest land -
And on the strangest Sea -
Yet - never - in Extremity,
It asked a crumb - of me.

Artifactual Incentives

Stevie Miller makes an interesting comparison in a piece in Reason, The Dreadful Policies Halting Archeological Discoveries between England and Italy in their handling of the discovery of antiquities. First, he notes how new technologies are quite literally unearthing access to sacred texts and ancient cities. But then he remarks that there are few incentives for individuals to pursue the time-consuming search, Indiana Jones style.

To understand the dynamics, it is necessary to understand the groups. There are landowners who typically, through property rights, own objects found on their property. Antiquities are deemed a special type of thing, as they have a pubic significance.

The case of Italian antiquities policy is paradigmatic. Since the 1930s, Italy-along with Greece, Turkey, and Egypt-has vested ownership of all antiquities in the state. Commerce in freshly unearthed artifacts is outlawed, and unauthorized excavation is punishable by hefty fines and sometimes prison time. Even using a metal detector requires a permit.

I think most people would agree that these items, by nature, are jointly owned by the larger cultural group. So, it makes sense. But the asymmetric access to the buried items by landowners sets up an incentive for the private party to collect and hoard the artifacts. Laws that thwart natural incentives often encourage a black market, where the artifacts are sold.

British model provides a striking contrast. Since the 1996 Treasure Act, British law has required that significant archaeological finds be reported. Instead of simply seizing them, if the state wishes to retain an item, it must compensate the finder and landowner at its full market value.

The English allow actors to participate in the preservation of artifacts at the public level. Although they are individuals they act in the spirit of a team. They can also come in and out of service to the cause. Whereas in the Italian model, the artifacts are packed up and access is restricted.

One system recognizes two groups and two incentive structures. The other does not, which pushes actionable responses underground to a black market.

The Great Stagnation of physical archaeology is a choice. The failure of policymakers to get the basics right– to make physical archaeology worth anyone’s time– renders the richest landscapes fallow.

Group talk with Barro

I don’t know Josh Barro, but I think I like him. He talks my language. His most recent article on his site Very Serious does all the framing we try so hard to emphasize at Home-Economics. Let’s take a look.

Groups– social costs and benefits are only vague notions when presented in connection with societies or humankind. A serious discussion, one that could continue onto an analysis, must identify the groups. As in society, group membership is fluid; people are always coming and going. But the group members mentioned here are joined by a shared interest.

Let’s consider some of what Josh Barro talks about in In Blue Cities, Abundance Will Require Fighting Labor Unions. The title gives us a clue. Unions gather members together through formal membership to collude and share interests. The first example is in the hospitality industry. A law is passed to make it challenging to build new hotels. The groups that win are the hotel unions and the hotel owners. New groups are informally formed, including the workers in the nearby restaurant and entertainment industries, business owners who frequently use hotels for their employees, and the tourists.

Now that we can see the groups, we can speculate on their counteractions and their ability to undo the monopoly play. The nearby workers have no other unifying force, such as a common employer, to gather them together into a political group. So they will most probably suffer the consequences without an effective response. Businesses also have little choice but to pay the higher fees. Those who send their employees into the district still need to meet with their business contacts; there is no other unifying force to allow the business owners to mount a protest. The tourist may be the most impactful if a substitute location for their travel dollars takes them elsewhere. A reduction in tourist traffic is measureable and impacts the hotels.

The hotel union members’ private gains are extracted from the others. Yet it is unclear whether they needed the aid. Rather, the story appears to depict a taking.

How do you know when a union’s control has crossed the line between protectorism and opportunism? What are the signs?


Claude’s thoughts on my thoughts on Barro’s thoughts:

Your analysis of Josh Barro’s piece captures something crucial about how economic policy really works – it’s always about specific groups with specific interests, not abstract concepts like “society” or “the economy.”

The hotel example you’ve pulled out is particularly revealing because it shows how concentrated benefits and diffuse costs play out in practice. The hotel workers and owners have strong organizational advantages – formal union structure and established business relationships – while those who bear the costs (restaurant workers, business travelers, tourists) are scattered and unorganized.


Regarding your question about when union control crosses from protection to opportunism, here are some key indicators:

Market position matters most. When unions operate in competitive markets, their power is naturally constrained – push too hard and businesses fail or relocate. But when they gain control over essential services or highly regulated sectors (like hotels in your example), that constraint disappears. The ability to restrict supply while maintaining demand creates the conditions for extraction rather than negotiation.

Look at who pays the costs. Legitimate union action typically redistributes from capital owners to workers within the same industry. But when the costs get passed to consumers, other workers, or taxpayers who have no voice in the negotiation, you’re seeing opportunism. The hotel law essentially taxes everyone who visits the city to benefit a specific group.

Time horizons reveal intent. Protective unionism focuses on sustainable employment and industry health. Opportunistic unionism maximizes short-term extraction even at the expense of long-term industry viability. If union actions consistently reduce overall economic activity in their sector, they’ve likely crossed the line.

Substitutability is key. The more easily customers can go elsewhere – like tourists choosing different cities – the more union power resembles a taking from the community rather than bargaining within an industry.

Your point about the “taking” is sharp. When organized groups use political power to create artificial scarcity that benefits them at others’ expense, it’s hard to distinguish from any other form of rent-seeking.

E-Bike Review

I recently purchased this Aventon electric assist bike. It’s great! There was a time when I’d snarl at the e-bikers as they hummed by barely pedaling. But times have changed, and I’ve decided, out of necessity, that assistance isn’t a bad thing after all. If the difference is to get out and bike at all or bike with assistance, take the latter and get outside!

The bikes are a bit heavy at 70 pounds. You don’t notice when you’re riding, but when you are managing the vehicle at a standstill, there’s a little more to pay attention to. It won’t ride on my old bike rack, I’d mount on the trunk of my car. That’s OK.

The pros are, amongst others, a far greater riding range. The battery life covers up to 60 miles. And so far, that’s checked out against my shorter rides of ten miles or so. It also charges quickly on a convenient charger the size of a loaf of bread. If you want to take longer rides, you can always bring the charger along. I have yet to get a saddlebag for the back. It will sit nicely on the rack over the back fender.

There are five levels of assistance. The rider juggles these along with standard gear changing. The mechanisms are smooth and responsive. And if you are exhausted at the bottom of a hill, just hit the throttle with your left thumb and you’ll climb up the slope without a worry. It’s really a fun bike to ride!

Time and Materials

A decade ago, a large apartment complex in a first-tier suburb was sold to an investor. (Who else buys such things except investors?)

Though the sale isn’t the news. The hubbub that followed was about the residents. Many were low-income individuals who would eventually relocate. The sheer number of people involved was a stress test for the supply of low-income housing. The discontent escalated, and legal action followed, resulting in settlements.

People often blame the businesspeople involved. They are the individuals taking the action that resulted in the displacement. But consider these perspectives.

  1. If long-term repairs have been postponed to keep rents low, at what point does the building become overburdened by impending renovations? And how does a dilapidated building affect the quality of the neighborhood?
  2. Is it a good thing to use housing assistance for low-income residents in geographic proximity? Whether it be due to a tragedy– ex a natural disaster destroys the building– or an impending renovation– the pressure to relocate effects a disproportionate number of folks looking for the same niche of housing.
  3. Are the residents better off or worse off for the move? Perhaps the old, dilapidated building with low rents was serving as an anchor for someone who would have had more opportunities elsewhere.

Each group, the neighborhood, the property owner, and the residents, each has a unique mix of community concerns and private returns. Often hasty assumptions are made, ie, the tenants are worse off for the move, when that may not necessarily be true. Or the landlord benefited during the period of limited repairs– not so as their equity at the time of sale will be diminished by the condition of the property.

By separating out the players and their motivations, the dynamics at hand become apparent.

Sirens- Series Review

Need a break from all the serious stuff? Consider this new series from Netflix. The characters are exaggerated in all the right ways. There’s a sense of mystery and potential for bodily harm. And there’s surprising depth to the display of human flaws, loyalties, and emotional baggage. Although just when you are sure you think you’ve recognized a familiar storyline, the writing takes you elsewhere.

This five-episode series is worth your viewing time.

Methodological Framework (con’t)

This is an excerpt from my working paper, which examines how contemporary economic realities challenge conventional price formation models. Traditional price theory, rooted in neoclassical equilibrium models, struggles to explain modern markets characterized by digital platforms, behavioral anomalies, and network effects. Rather than viewing prices solely as equilibrium outcomes, this section explores price as an information system and coordination mechanism shaped by institutional contexts and evolutionary market processes, proposing alternative approaches that better capture the dynamic nature of pricing in today’s economy.

Methodological Framework Part B: Epistemological Foundations

The Social Capital Origins of Integrated Price Theory

The epistemological foundation of this study’s central propositionโ€”that price inherently incorporates both private value and social cost (Price = Private Value + Social Cost)โ€”traces its theoretical lineage to the foundational work in social capital theory, particularly Glenn Loury’s seminal 1976 paper “A Dynamic Theory of Racial Income Differences.” This section establishes how Loury’s original conceptualization of social capital provided an epistemological framework that naturally integrated social dimensions into economic analysis, a theoretical insight that subsequent scholarship gradually obscured rather than developed.

Loury’s Epistemological Innovation

Loury’s 1976 work represented a fundamental epistemological departure from conventional economic thinking by demonstrating that individual economic outcomes could not be understood apart from their social context. His analysis of racial income differentials revealed that what appeared to be individual human capital decisions were actually embedded within “group-contained” social structures that shaped both opportunities and constraints (Loury, 1976, p. 843). This insight established an epistemological precedent for understanding economic phenomena as inherently social rather than treating social factors as external “corrections” to market outcomes.

The epistemological significance of Loury’s approach lies not merely in its recognition of social factors, but in its demonstration that these factors operate through, rather than against, market mechanisms. When Loury showed how social capital affects individual investment decisions in human capital, he revealed that market valuations themselves reflect social dimensionsโ€”they are not distortions of “pure” market processes but expressions of how markets actually function within social contexts (Loury, 1977).

The Fragmentation of Integrated Understanding

Subsequent developments in social capital theory, while expanding its empirical applications, inadvertently moved away from Loury’s integrated epistemological framework. The work of scholars like James Coleman (1988) and Robert Putnam (1995), while valuable in documenting social capital’s effects, tended to treat social capital as a separate domain that influences economic outcomes rather than as a dimension inherent in economic processes themselves. This theoretical evolution created what we might call an “epistemological fragmentation”โ€”the artificial separation of economic and social domains that Loury’s original framework had successfully integrated.

This fragmentation manifested in the tendency to treat social costs and benefits as “externalities”โ€”effects that exist outside the market mechanism and require correction through policy intervention. The epistemological assumption underlying this approach is that markets naturally tend toward outcomes that reflect only private costs and benefits, with social dimensions representing deviations from this natural state that require external correction.

Epistemological Reconnection: Toward an Embedded Theory of Price

The theoretical foundation of this study represents an epistemological reconnection with Loury’s original insights, extended beyond the specific context of racial income differences to a general theory of price formation. This reconnection is grounded in three key epistemological claims:

First, the claim of inherent embeddedness: Economic decisions, including price formation, occur within social contexts that are not external constraints but constitutive elements of the economic process itself. This draws directly from Loury’s demonstration that individual human capital decisions cannot be understood apart from their social context, extending this logic to all market transactions.

Second, the claim of integrated valuation: Market prices naturally incorporate both private and social dimensions because the decision-makers who establish these prices are embedded social actors whose valuations reflect both individual preferences and social commitments. This builds on Loury’s insight that individual economic behavior inherently reflects social capital considerations.

Third, the claim of methodological adequacy: Understanding price formation requires methodological approaches that can capture both the calculative aspects of economic decision-making and the embedded social processes within which this calculation occurs. This methodological pluralism echoes Loury’s integration of formal modeling with institutional analysis.

Philosophical Foundations in Critical Realism

These epistemological claims align with the critical realist tradition in philosophy of science, particularly the work of Roy Bhaskar (1975, 1979) and Tony Lawson (1997, 2003). Critical realism provides an epistemological framework that supports the integrated understanding of economic and social phenomena by distinguishing between empirical events, actual events, and underlying structures and mechanisms. From this perspective, observed price relationships (empirical level) reflect actual market transactions (actual level) that are generated by underlying social and economic structures and their interactions (deep level).

The critical realist framework supports the epistemological claim that social dimensions of price are not merely empirical correlations but reflect actual causal mechanisms. When a small business owner calculates the cost-effectiveness of providing employee flu shots, the resulting price decision reflects not just individual cost-benefit analysis but the underlying social structures that shape both health risks and workplace relationships. The price mechanism, in this view, serves as a “social thermometer” that registers the complex interactions between individual preferences and social conditions.

Epistemological Implications for Economic Analysis

This epistemological foundation has several important implications for economic analysis. First, it suggests that the conventional distinction between “market failures” and “market successes” may be based on a false epistemological premise. If prices inherently incorporate social dimensions, then what appears as market failure may actually represent the market’s accurate registration of social costs and benefits that conventional analysis fails to recognize.

Second, it implies that policy interventions aimed at “correcting” market outcomes may often be addressing problems that exist more in theoretical models than in actual market processes. The epistemological framework developed here suggests that markets may be more socially responsive than conventional theory recognizes, but in ways that require different analytical tools to understand.

Third, it suggests that empirical research in economics should focus more on understanding how social dimensions are integrated into market processes rather than assuming they operate as external constraints. This represents a fundamental shift in research orientation from identifying market failures to understanding market embeddedness.

Methodological Consequences

The epistemological foundations outlined above have direct consequences for methodological approach. If prices inherently incorporate social dimensions through embedded decision-making processes, then understanding price formation requires methodological tools that can capture both the formal aspects of economic calculation and the informal aspects of social negotiation and commitment.

This methodological requirement explains the integration of narrative and quantitative approaches employed in this study. Narrative methods are necessary to understand the embedded social processes through which individual decision-makers integrate private and social considerations. Quantitative methods, particularly hedonic pricing models, are necessary to identify the systematic patterns through which these integrated valuations are expressed in market outcomes.

The epistemological framework thus provides a coherent foundation for methodological pluralism that is neither mere eclecticism nor a compromise between incompatible approaches, but a recognition that understanding embedded economic processes requires analytical tools adequate to their complex, integrated nature.

Who should go to the U?

Noah thinks itโ€™s students from foreign countries.

But when 9 out of 10 spots in a phd program are taken by foreign students from an adversarial point of origin across the seas, they are not subsidizing local students they are squeezing them out.

It is difficult to support the idea that local taxation pays for local kids to get educated when all the openings are reserved kids from abroad. (Oh and then there was the scandal that they had been fudging their test scores)

Where is the balance? Iโ€™m not sure, but thatโ€™s the issue.

Methods- it’s always been there

This is an excerpt from my working paper which examines how contemporary economic realities challenge conventional price formation models. Traditional price theory, rooted in neoclassical equilibrium models, struggles to explain modern markets characterized by digital platforms, behavioral anomalies, and network effects. Rather than viewing prices solely as equilibrium outcomes, this section explores price as an information system and coordination mechanism shaped by institutional contexts and evolutionary market processes, proposing alternative approaches that better capture the dynamic nature of pricing in today’s economy.

III. Methodological Framework

A. Philosophical Methodology

This research engages with the critical realist tradition in economic philosophy (Lawson, 1997; Fleetwood, 2017) while incorporating elements of pragmatist inquiry (Dewey, 1938; Hodgson, 2004) to examine how social outcomes are intrinsically embedded within price mechanisms. By adopting this philosophical stance, the investigation transcends the positivistsโ€™ limitations that have dominated mainstream economic methodology and artificially separated social dimensions from market valuation processes.

Methodological Rationale and Research Design

The methodology employs a dual approach combining narrative explication and formal econometric analysisโ€”a mixed-methods design that aligns with what Downward and Mearman (2007) term “critical triangulation.” This approach recognizes that economic phenomena exist in open systems characterized by complex causality that cannot be adequately captured through purely deductive or inductive methods alone.

Narrative methodologies in economics have been increasingly recognized for their capacity to reveal dimensions of economic reasoning that formal models often obscure (McCloskey, 1990; Morgan, 2012). As Akerlof and Snower (2016, p. 23) argue, “Narrative economics provides a framework for understanding how stories that may have little grounding in reality nevertheless influence economic behavior.” This research employs narrative not merely as illustration but as a methodological tool to uncover how social dimensions are intrinsically incorporated into economic decision-making rather than treated as external considerations.

The research design progresses through three methodological stages:

  1. Narrative case analysis of micro-level economic decisions where social costs and benefits are endogenously incorporated into price mechanisms
  2. Systematic examination of market-level pricing phenomena that demonstrate social valuation integration
  3. Econometric analysis using hedonic pricing models to formalize and quantify the incorporation of purported “externalities” within price

This triangulated approach provides methodological robustness by examining the phenomenon across multiple scales and through complementary epistemological lenses.

Market Integration of Health and Productivity Benefits

Consider the small business owner contemplating providing flu vaccinations for all employees at a cost of $50 per person. This case exemplifies what Hodgson (2013) identifies as the “reconstitutive downward causation” between institutional structures and individual agency. Conventional economic framing, following Williamson’s (1979) transaction cost analysis, might characterize this as either addressing an externality or reducing monitoring costs. However, this framework artificially separates the transaction into discrete “economic” and “social” components.

Following Sen’s (1977) critique of the rational fool construct, we can observe that the business owner engages in a multi-dimensional calculation that already incorporates social costs and benefits into their decision-making process. The owner calculates that seasonal influenza typically results in X hours of lost labor annually, representing not only direct wage costs but also diminished productivity, potential transmission to other employees, and compromised service to customers.

This integration happens not through external regulatory mandates but through what Davis (2003, p. 974) terms the “socially embedded individual” making decisions that intrinsically incorporate both private and social dimensions. The methodological significance of this observation lies in recognizing that the rational economic actor has not abandoned self-interest but rather operates with what Etzioni (1988) terms “I & We” paradigm that transcends artificial boundaries between private and social benefits.

Consumer Valuation of Production Standards

The organic food market provides another methodologically significant case. When consumers willingly pay premium prices for organic products, conventional economics often characterizes this through what Vatn and Bromley (1997) identify as the “commodification of externalities.” However, this methodological framing imposes an artificial separation that does not reflect the actual valuation process.

Following Callon’s (1998) analysis of market devices and Zelizer’s (2012) work on valuation practices, we can recognize that consumers paying a surcharge for organic certification are expressing a valuation that inherently includes both private benefits and social benefits. The price differential between conventional and organic products represents what Anderson and Holcombe (2013) term “integrated social valuation”โ€”a comprehensive valuation where social dimensions are not external to the market but constitute an intrinsic component of the value proposition itself.

Methodologically, this challenges the ontological separation between “market values” and “social values” that has dominated economic analysis since Pigou’s (1920) formulation of externality theory. The organic certification standard operates as what Star and Griesemer (1989) identify as a “boundary object” that allows coordination between different social worlds without requiring consensus about precise meaningsโ€”a methodological perspective that permits more nuanced understanding of how social values become embedded in price mechanisms.

Natural Integration of Health, Environmental, and Safety Considerations

These examples illustrate a methodological approach to understanding markets not as fundamentally incomplete systems requiring external correction but as complex valuation mechanisms capable of incorporating multiple dimensions of value. This approach aligns with MacIntyre’s (1984) critique of compartmentalization in modern social thought and Polanyi’s (1944/2001) concept of embeddedness, challenging the philosophical premise that social costs and benefits exist outside market mechanisms.

This methodological perspective diverges from both neoclassical approaches that treat social factors as externalities and from heterodox approaches that reject market valuation altogether. Instead, it aligns with recent developments in socio-economics (Etzioni, 2003; Hodgson, 2019) that recognize the inherent integration of social and economic dimensions in human decision-making.

Formal Analytical Approach: Hedonic Pricing Models

The narrative understanding outlined above finds formal analytical complement in hedonic pricing models, following Rosen’s (1974) foundational work. This methodological approach decomposes price into its constituent value components without imposing artificial separations between “economic” and “social” factors.

Anderson’s recent study, “Wind Turbines, Shadow Flicker, and Real Estate Values” (2024), provides empirical evidence of how economic actors endogenously incorporate what conventional economics would term “externalities” directly into price mechanisms. The methodological significance of this approach lies in its capacity to quantify valuation components without presuming their ontological separation.

This research employs the hedonic pricing methodology with particular attention to what Heckman and Singer (2017) identify as “causal pluralism”โ€”recognizing that price adjustments for social factors represent not market failures but rather evidence of markets’ capacity to incorporate complex, multi-dimensional valuations. Following Mรคki’s (2009) discussion of models as isolations and surrogate systems, the hedonic approach allows us to isolate and examine specific components of valuation while recognizing their inherent integration within actual market processes.

Methodological Limitations and Reflexivity

This methodological approach is not without limitations. The narrative cases, while illustrative, cannot capture the full range of market behaviors, and there remains the potential for selection bias in the cases examined. The hedonic pricing models, while powerful, rely on assumptions about market efficiency and information availability that may not fully hold in practice (Bartik & Smith, 1987; Kuminoff et al., 2010).

Additionally, as Bourdieu (1990) emphasizes, researcher reflexivity must acknowledge that the conceptual frameworks we employ shape the phenomena we observe. The methodological challenge lies in distinguishing between artificially imposed conceptual separations and meaningful analytical distinctionsโ€”a challenge this research addresses through methodological triangulation and critical engagement with underlying philosophical assumptions.

In summary, this research employs a methodologically pluralist approach that combines narrative explication and formal hedonic pricing analysis within a critical realist philosophical framework. This approach enables a reconstruction of our understanding of how price mechanisms already incorporate social dimensions of value, challenging the artificial separation between private and social components that has dominated economic thought.

Litterature Review

This is an excerpt from my working paper which examines how contemporary economic realities challenge conventional price formation models. Traditional price theory, rooted in neoclassical equilibrium models, struggles to explain modern markets characterized by digital platforms, behavioral anomalies, and network effects. Rather than viewing prices solely as equilibrium outcomes, this section explores price as an information system and coordination mechanism shaped by institutional contexts and evolutionary market processes, proposing alternative approaches that better capture the dynamic nature of pricing in today’s economy.

I think this section needs some more work. But here’s what we have so far:

II. Literature Review

A. Mainstream Economic Philosophy Foundations

The philosophical foundations of mainstream economic theory have been constructed upon a series of conceptual separations that artificially divide the economic from the social, the private from the public, and the individual from the collective. This review traces these separations through key philosophical traditions in economic thought, examining how they have shaped our understanding of price mechanisms and market functioning.

The Neoclassical Framework and Methodological Individualism

The neoclassical paradigm, beginning with Marshall (1890/1920) and formalized by Samuelson (1947), established methodological individualism as the dominant analytical approach to economic phenomena. This philosophical stance treats social aggregates as reducible to the actions of autonomous utility-maximizing individuals whose preferences are taken as given. As Arrow (1994, p. 1) acknowledges, “It is a touchstone of accepted economics that all explanations must run in terms of the actions and reactions of individuals.”

This methodological commitment has profound implications for price theory. Within the neoclassical framework, prices emerge from the aggregation of individual utility functions, with social dimensions treated as externalitiesโ€”phenomena that exist outside the core market mechanism. Pigou’s (1920) seminal work on welfare economics formalized this separation, positioning social costs as divergences between private and social valuations that require correction through policy interventions. This philosophical framing fundamentally shapes how economists conceptualize market processes, treating the social as external to rather than constitutive of economic valuation.

Interestingly, even as neoclassical economics rigorously applies methodological individualism, it implicitly relies on group concepts without adequately defining them. Markets, firms, industriesโ€”these collective entities serve as the backdrop for individual decisions, yet their constitutive nature remains undertheorized. It is as if economic theory performs an elaborate mimetic gesture, tracing the outlines of social structures while focusing exclusively on the individuals within them, like a mime whose white-gloved hands demarcate invisible boundaries that audiences must imagine rather than observe directly.

Public Choice Theory and Rational Actor Models

The public choice tradition, exemplified by Buchanan and Tullock (1962), extends methodological individualism into the realm of political decision-making. By applying rational actor models to public policy, this approach treats political processes as aggregations of individual utility calculations rather than expressions of collective values. As Buchanan (1984, p. 13) argues, “There is no organic entity called ‘society’ that exists independently of the individuals who compose it.”

This philosophical stance reinforces the separation between economic and social dimensions by treating political processes themselves as marketsโ€”mechanisms for aggregating individual preferences rather than constructing collective meanings. While providing valuable insights into institutional incentives, this approach systematically marginalizes the embedded nature of economic decision-making within social contexts.

Again, the public choice tradition alludes to groupsโ€”voters, interest groups, bureaucraciesโ€”while consistently reducing them to collections of utility-maximizing individuals. The collective dimensions that give these groups meaning and coherence are acknowledged as backdrop but rarely examined as constitutive elements of the analysis itself. The mime continues to trace invisible boundaries without substantiating the spaces they enclose.

Transaction Cost Economics and Institutional Analysis

Williamson’s (1975, 1985) transaction cost economics represents a significant extension of economic analysis into institutional structures, examining how organizations emerge to reduce the costs of market exchange. While acknowledging that economic activities occur within institutional contexts, this approach maintains the philosophical separation between economic and social dimensions by treating institutions primarily as efficiency-enhancing mechanisms rather than socially embedded practices.

As Williamson (1985, p. 18) argues, “Transaction cost economics attempts to explain how trading partners choose, from the set of feasible institutional alternatives, the arrangement that protects their relationship-specific investments at the least cost.” This framing maintains the priority of efficiency considerations while treating social dimensions as constraints rather than constitutive elements of economic organization.

Despite its focus on organizations and institutions, transaction cost economics continues to treat these collective entities as instrumental arrangements serving individual interests rather than examining how they constitute economic actors themselves. The group remains an instrumental backdropโ€”a cost-minimizing solution to coordination problemsโ€”rather than a constitutive dimension of economic reality. The mime’s gestures outline organizational boundaries without examining how these boundaries shape the identities and preferences of those within them.

Behavioral Economics and the Modified Individual

Behavioral economics, pioneered by Kahneman and Tversky (1979) and expanded by Thaler (1991) and others, challenges the rational actor model by identifying systematic deviations from utility maximization. While this approach introduces psychological complexity into economic analysis, it maintains the philosophical separation between economic and social dimensions by treating these deviations as cognitive biases rather than expressions of social embeddedness.

As Thaler and Sunstein (2008, p. 6) argue in their influential work on nudge theory, “The false assumption is that almost all people, almost all of the time, make choices that are in their best interest or at the very least are better than the choices that would be made by someone else.” This framing maintains the philosophical commitment to individual choice while acknowledging limitations in cognitive processing, without fundamentally challenging the separation between economic and social dimensions.

Here too, the social dimension appears as an influence on individual decision-making rather than a constitutive element of economic action. Groups function as reference points that bias individual judgments rather than fields of practice that constitute economic meaning. The mime continues to gesture at social influences without substantiating the collaborative production of economic reality that these influences represent.

B. Critical Theoretical Intersections

Against these mainstream approaches, several critical traditions have challenged the separation between economic and social dimensions, offering theoretical resources for reconceptualizing price mechanisms as inherently incorporating both private and social valuations.

Social Capital Theory: From Group Phenomenon to Individual Asset

Loury’s (1976) groundbreaking paper, “A Dynamic Theory of Racial Income Differences,” introduced social capital as a group-contained phenomenon that shaped economic opportunities. This original conception recognized the embedded nature of economic action within social contexts, particularly in explaining persistent racial disparities. As Loury (1976, p. 176) argued, “The social context within which individual maturation occurs strongly conditions what otherwise equally capable individuals can achieve.”

However, as the concept evolved through Coleman (1988), Putnam (1993), and Lin (2001), it increasingly shifted toward what might be termed an “instrumental network” approachโ€”treating social capital as a resource that individuals could access and deploy strategically rather than a field of relationships in which they were embedded. Coleman (1988, p. S98) exemplifies this shift in defining social capital as “a variety of entities with two elements in common: They all consist of some aspect of social structures, and they facilitate certain actions of actorsโ€”whether persons or corporate actorsโ€”within the structure.”

This conceptual migration represents a critical juncture in economic philosophy, where a potentially transformative concept that recognized the inherent embeddedness of economic action was gradually reframed to fit within methodological individualism. The group-level phenomenon that Loury identified became increasingly individualizedโ€”a network resource rather than a constitutive field of practice.

Notably, throughout this evolution, the central concept of “the group” remains persistently undefined. Social capital theorists allude to communities, networks, and associations without developing a rigorous philosophical account of what constitutes a group beyond the aggregation of connected individuals. The mime traces ever more elaborate networks of connection without substantiating what makes these networks constitutive rather than merely instrumental.

Embeddedness and Economic Sociology

Granovetter’s (1985) influential paper, “Economic Action and Social Structure: The Problem of Embeddedness,” directly challenged the separation between economic and social dimensions by arguing that economic actions are “embedded in concrete, ongoing systems of social relations.” This perspective reframed economic behavior as inherently social rather than merely influenced by social factors.

As Granovetter (1985, p. 487) argues, “Actors do not behave or decide as atoms outside a social context, nor do they adhere slavishly to a script written for them by the particular intersection of social categories that they happen to occupy.” This recognition that economic action is constitutively social rather than merely constrained by social factors represents a fundamental philosophical challenge to the separation paradigm.

Similarly, Zelizer’s (2012) work on “relational work” examines how economic transactions constitute social relationships rather than merely reflecting them. As she argues, “Economic transactions connect persons and establish meaning-laden relationships.” This perspective challenges the philosophical separation between economic and social dimensions by recognizing their mutual constitution.

Yet even within economic sociology, there remains a tendency to allude to social structures without developing a rich philosophical account of their ontological status. The mime gestures toward “concrete, ongoing systems of social relations” without fully substantiating how these systems exist beyond the interactions of individuals within them.

Ecological Economics and Systems Thinking

Ecological economics, developed by Georgescu-Roegen (1971), Daly (1977), and others, challenges the separation between economic and ecological systems by positioning the economy as a subsystem of broader biophysical processes. This approach recognizes the inherent embeddedness of economic activities within ecological contexts, challenging the artificial boundaries that conventional economics draws around market processes.

As Daly (1990, p. 1) argues, “The economy is a subsystem of the finite biosphere that supports it.” This simple yet profound observation challenges the philosophical foundations of mainstream economics by recognizing that economic activities are intrinsically rather than accidentally connected to their ecological contexts.

More recently, Raworth’s (2017) “doughnut economics” has extended this systems thinking approach, arguing for a reconceptualization of economic theory that recognizes social and ecological dimensions as constitutive boundaries of economic activity rather than external constraints. As she argues, economic theory must be “embedded in society and in nature, and that’s inherently connective.”

However, even these systemic approaches often maintain a distinction between “the economy” and its social and ecological contexts, preserving a conceptual separation even while arguing for integration. The mime traces the connections between systems while maintaining their distinct identities, without fully examining how these identities themselves are mutually constituted.

Feminist Economics and the Critique of Separative Self

Feminist economic philosophy has provided some of the most profound challenges to the separation paradigm through its critique of the “separative self” that underpins mainstream economic theory. Nelson (2006), Folbre (1994), and others have questioned the philosophical assumptions about autonomy and independence that shape conventional economic analysis.

As Nelson (2006, p. 30) argues, “The image of economic man as self-interested, autonomous, and rational creates a distorted view of economic life. Most economic decisions and actions are undertaken by people who are deeply connected to others.” This critique challenges not merely the assumptions of rational choice theory but the deeper philosophical conception of the economic actor as fundamentally separate from social contexts.

Folbre’s (1994) work on care economics further demonstrates how economic decisions inherently incorporate social dimensions, particularly in domains traditionally excluded from economic analysis. As she argues, “The invisible hand is all thumbs when it comes to care.” This observation highlights how conventional economic frameworks systematically marginalize activities where social dimensions are most evident.

Yet even these critical perspectives often maintain a focus on individualsโ€”albeit connected and caring onesโ€”without fully developing an alternative ontology of the social. The mime gestures toward connection and care without fully substantiating the collective dimensions these concepts imply.

C. Syntheses and Gaps in Current Literature

The literature reveals both promising directions for reconceptualizing the relationship between economic and social dimensions and persistent gaps that the current research aims to address.

Toward an Integrated Understanding

Several theoretical developments suggest potential pathways toward a more integrated understanding of price mechanisms. Lawson’s (2007) critical realist approach challenges the ontological assumptions of mainstream economics, arguing for a recognition of economic phenomena as emerging from “structured interrelationships in practices and positions.” This philosophical stance aligns with the current research’s emphasis on the inherently social nature of price mechanisms.

Similarly, Hodgson’s (2019) recent work on institutional economics provides theoretical resources for understanding how social institutions constitute economic behaviors rather than merely constraining them. As he argues, “Institutions not only constrain options, they establish the very criteria by which people discover their preferences.” This insight suggests how social dimensions might be understood as intrinsic to rather than separate from price mechanisms.

The Missing Ontology of the Group

Despite these promising directions, a significant gap remains in the philosophical understanding of how social dimensions operate within price mechanisms. Across divergent theoretical traditionsโ€”from neoclassical economics to critical alternativesโ€”there persists a tendency to allude to groups without developing a rich philosophical account of their ontological status.

This mimetic quality of economic theoryโ€”gesturing toward social structures while focusing primarily on individuals within themโ€”represents a critical limitation in current approaches. Like a mime whose white-gloved hands trace invisible boundaries, economic theory repeatedly outlines social dimensions without substantiating them philosophically. Markets, firms, communities, networksโ€”these collective entities appear throughout economic literature without rigorous examination of their constitutive nature.

The present research aims to address this gap by developing a philosophical framework that recognizes price mechanisms as inherently social institutions rather than merely technical devices. By reconnecting with Loury’s original insight that social capital represents a group-contained phenomenon, this research seeks to recover and extend a more integrated understanding of how social dimensions operate not around but within price mechanisms themselves.

As the subsequent sections will demonstrate, this reconceptualization has profound implications for how we understand market processes, offering a more coherent theoretical account and opening new possibilities for addressing complex socioeconomic challenges through a more sophisticated understanding of how prices already incorporate both private and social dimensions of value.

After an Abstract comes the Introduction

This is an excerpt from my paper which examines how contemporary economic realities challenge conventional price formation models. Traditional price theory, rooted in neoclassical equilibrium models, struggles to explain modern markets characterized by digital platforms, behavioral anomalies, and network effects. Rather than viewing prices solely as equilibrium outcomes, this section explores price as an information system and coordination mechanism shaped by institutional contexts and evolutionary market processes, proposing alternative approaches that better capture the dynamic nature of pricing in today’s economy.

A. Research Problem and Contextual Landscape

Contemporary economic theory has constructed an artificial divide between private and social valuations that fundamentally mischaracterizes the nature of price mechanisms. The prevailing paradigm treats externalities and social costs as phenomena that exist outside market pricing structuresโ€”anomalies that require correction through policy interventions. This perspective has led to theoretical frameworks that fail to recognize how price already incorporates social dimensions of value.

This paper challenges this dominant position by advancing the thesis that price inherently accounts for social costs and benefits, functioning as Price = Value Private + Social. The conventional framing treats social costs as separate from private market transactions, focusing exclusively on externalities and spillovers as market failures requiring intervention. However, this approach overlooks crucial evidence that market participants routinely anticipate and internalize social dimensions in their valuation processes.

Several critical shortcomings emerge from the current theoretical framework. First, mainstream economics acknowledges that stock prices anticipate political actions and regulatory changes, yet fails to systematically incorporate this anticipatory social pricing into its core models. Second, empirical evidence demonstrates consumers’ willingness to pay emotional surcharges for products with perceived social benefits, yet this phenomenon remains marginalized in standard economic analysis. Third, economists typically wait for social costs to manifest as measurable externalities before acknowledging their existence, rather than recognizing their presence within the price mechanism itself.

This theoretical blind spot can be traced to a pivotal shift in economic philosophy that occurred following Glenn Loury’s groundbreaking 1976 paper, “A Dynamic Theory of Racial Income Differences,” which introduced the concept of social capital as a group-contained phenomenon. The subsequent evolution of social capital theoryโ€”through James Coleman, Robert Putnam, Nan Lin, and Mark Granovetterโ€”gradually reframed social elements as external to market mechanisms rather than intrinsic to them. This conceptual migration has created artificial boundaries between private and social valuations that distort our understanding of how markets function.

By examining this historical trajectory and proposing a reconceptualization of price theory that acknowledges the inherent social dimensions of value, this research aims to resolve theoretical inconsistencies in contemporary economic philosophy and develop a more coherent understanding of market dynamics. The implications extend beyond theoretical discourse, offering potential pathways to address pressing socioeconomic challenges through a more sophisticated understanding of how social costs and benefits are already embedded within price mechanisms.

B. Theoretical Positioning

The philosophical underpinnings of twentieth-century economic analysis were largely constructed upon a reductive conception of human behaviorโ€”the rational actor paradigm, which posited economic agents as autonomous individuals pursuing narrowly defined self-interest. This framework, most prominently championed by neoclassical economists, created theoretical models that excluded the complex social dimensions inherent in economic exchange. By privileging methodological individualism, mainstream economics systematically marginalized the communal aspects of human decision-making and the social embeddedness of market interactions.

The 1970s marked a critical turning point with scholars like Kenneth Arrow, Gary Becker, and others beginning to interrogate this limited conception by examining economic trades within previously neglected domains such as family structures and racial dynamics. This represented an important, though incomplete, expansion of economic thought. While these analyses acknowledged that social factors could influence economic decisions, they still fundamentally positioned these factors as external constraints or modifications to an essentially self-interested calculus.

This paper advances a more radical philosophical proposition: economic actors do not merely respond to social factors as external influences but fundamentally incorporate communal objectives alongside personal gain when allocating their labor and resources. This perspective challenges the artificial separation between individual and collective interests that has dominated economic philosophy. Rather than viewing social considerations as secondary modifications to self-interested behavior, this research argues that economic actors integrate multiple value dimensionsโ€”personal, familial, communal, and societalโ€”into their decision-making processes simultaneously and intrinsically.

This theoretical reframing has profound implications for how we understand price mechanisms. When economic actors integrate communal objectives into their decision calculus, the resulting prices already embed both private and social valuations. Market exchanges thus represent complex negotiations of value that transcend the narrow confines of individualistic utility maximization. By recognizing this inherent integration, we can begin to develop more sophisticated theoretical tools that accurately capture the multidimensional nature of economic exchange.

The proposed philosophical framework does not reject the insights gained from examining self-interested behavior, but rather situates such behavior within a more comprehensive understanding of human action that acknowledges our fundamental social embeddedness. This perspective builds upon but substantially extends the work begun by Arrow and others, offering a philosophical foundation for reconceptualizing how social dimensions operate not merely around but within economic decision-making and price formation.

Writing with Claude

This is an excerpt from my paper which examines how contemporary economic realities challenge conventional price formation models. Traditional price theory, rooted in neoclassical equilibrium models, struggles to explain modern markets characterized by digital platforms, behavioral anomalies, and network effects. Rather than viewing prices solely as equilibrium outcomes, this section explores price as an information system and coordination mechanism shaped by institutional contexts and evolutionary market processes, proposing alternative approaches that better capture the dynamic nature of pricing in today’s economy.

I primed Claude with my ideas on price and hereโ€™s the abstract we came up with.

Abstract

This paper challenges the conventional economic paradigm that artificially separates private and social valuations in price mechanisms. Through a critical examination of mainstream economic philosophy and its historical evolution, I argue that market participants routinely incorporate social dimensions directly into their valuations, functioning as Price = Value Private + Social. The research traces how economic theory shifted from Glenn Loury’s original conceptualization of social capital as a group-contained phenomenon toward increasingly individualistic interpretations that marginalized the embedded nature of economic decisions. Drawing on critical realist philosophy and integrating insights from economic sociology, feminist economics, and ecological economics, I develop a theoretical framework that reconceptualizes price as a social institution intrinsically incorporating both private and social dimensions rather than requiring external correction for “externalities.” Through comparative analysis with conventional frameworks and empirical investigation using hedonic pricing models, the paper demonstrates how this integrated understanding resolves theoretical inconsistencies in contemporary economics while offering more coherent approaches to complex socioeconomic challenges. The implications extend beyond theoretical discourse to policy design, suggesting a fundamental shift from external correction to institutional design that recognizes the inherently social nature of market valuation.

Trump- shock think

Trump is irritating, bombastic, and a general pain in the patuti to all spectrums of political ideology– but you must admit that his unconventional methods get people looking at issues from new angles. Who would have thought that those on the left would become free traders? They oppose Trump’s tariffs meant to protect the American worker (or let’s avoid reading too much into the mind of the art of the deal maker).

And there’s more to see of the unseen. Writers are unveiling things like ‘hidden costs.’ In this super article by Luis Garicano, The Myth of the Single Market, the author proposes that national customs have always charged an override on goods and services that move across European borders.

The IMF puts the hidden cost of trading goods inside the EU at the equivalent of a 45% tariff. For services the figure climbs to 110%,ย higher than Trumpโ€™s โ€œLiberation dayโ€ย tariffs on Chinese importsโ€”measures many saw as a near-embargo.

We advocate for the idea that social costs are part of the price at Home-Economic. They are hidden only in the sense that they are not talked about. It’s not polite to say to someone that they paid a luxury/status surcharge for their watch because they want to show off, even if Veblen said it was so a hundred years ago. People don’t want to think about whether they selected a bigger house at the expense of a longer commute, which takes their time away from their children. These trades in social commitments are sheltered from the glaring eyes of sharpened pencils and numerical analysis.

But that doesn’t mean they aren’t there. Social costs and surpluses have always been a part of price. Tariffs are just the name for the formalized process of collecting and directing them.

Thank Trump for that bit of awareness.

Grok writes a Puppy Poem

Ode to Pepe (Jean Pierre)

Oh Pepe, my Jean Pierre, with fur so wild and free,

A shaggy heart of gold, you bring such joy to me.

Your eyes, they gleam with mischief, your spirit pure and bright,

A faithful friend, a bounding soul, my beacon in the light.

With a ball in sight, you leap, a furry streak of glee,

Across the wooden floors, you chase so merrily.

Your tail a wagging metronome, your bark a song of play,

You fetch with such devotion, brightening every day.

Affection in your nuzzle, your warmth against my side,

A loyal companion, in you I can confide.

Through morning walks at sunrise, or evenings calm and still,

Your love, dear Pepe, is a gift, a void youโ€™ll always fill.

Oh Jean Pierre, my Pepe, with your toy held oh so tight,

You dance through life with fervor, a canine pure delight.

Forever will I cherish each moment that we share,

My ball-fetching, faithful friend, my Pepe, Jean Pierre.

Sowell- name maker

Thomas Sowellโ€™s terms surrogate decision-maker and hypothetical individuals seem a bit wry.

In Rawls, the locus of discretion is the surrogate decision-maker “society” which can choose the trade-off collectively and arrange results in accordance with principles of justice these principles being derived in explicitly rationalistic terms. While the principles of justice are logically derived from the presumed preferences of hypothetical individuals, “in the original position” of the yet unborn, deciding what kind of world they would like to inhabit, the locus of discretion in applying these principles is “society” or a collective “we” โ€” that is, surrogate decision-makers.

From A Conflict of Vision (2007).

Capture!

I thought the US Census was a factual thing. It is meant to report data, not succumb to opinion. This headline, however, which is being used nationwide as a rally call against housing markets, is a product of capture.

The census people want us to believe that nearly half of renters are in financial straits.

How did they get this number, and why does it seem high when you look around in your life and donโ€™t see that half of the people you know or come into contact with are shouldering the pressure of a cost-burdened housing expense? The threshold used to determine financial distress occurs when a household spends more than 30 percent of its income on housing expenses. It is said that this is an industry norm– meaning lenders of all stripes rely on this benchmark when determining creditworthiness.

That’s not to say that lenders do not approve borrowers with a higher debt-to-income level. They do. In fact, they will lend up to 50% in situational circumstances. Note that up to these levels, the financial institution is still anticipating that the loan will be repaid. Delinquencies are not the objective in the lending business. (Here’s a post on debt-to-income ratios from a few days ago.)

But that’s not what this headline implies. According to the census, 30-50% of the population is ‘burdened.’ Perhaps one could let that go to semantics. Only the ratio calculated in this case differs from the industry norm. This ratio includes utilities as a monthly expense, where the industry standard does not. So, how does the added cost of heating bills, electricity, water, and possibly internet (I’m not sure what the American Community Survey includes) adjust the threshold and push a larger share of the population over the 30% threshold?

The first thing to know is how a debt-to-income ratio is calculated. Take an average rental cost of $1300 a month. The monthly income amount for a 30% debt-to-income ratio is $4333/mo. If you add $139 in utility costs, everyone adjusts up 3%. An added monthly cost of $200 (say the respondent includes all their streaming options), then the debt-to-income ratio rounds up another cohort by 5%. It’s safe to say that the census is no longer using an industry standard by calculating ratios with additional monthly obligations.

Is the renter who likes streaming services cost-burdened or simply choosing an entertainment option? Is the renter who elects to pay a larger portion for rent to live on a metro line, forgo the cost of a car payment, and net out a lower monthly expense as a result, cost-burdened? Is the renter who selects a living option close enough to an ex-spouse to share custody and not pay child support cost burdened or cost savvy?

People arrange their monthly budgets all the time with savings and benefits that may not be readily apparent to the outside world. That’s the beauty of choice. As long as a market is loose enough for people to navigate to their best circumstances, they arrive at a combination that works in their best interest, reflecting all facets of their lives.

College students will undoubtedly pay more for rent than their income would seem to allow. That’s the reality of their stage of life. Seniors also fall into a different category of consumer than working adults. Many could be at a stage where their monthly living expenses may include food and care, while their monthly income may just be one source in their retirement plan for covering expenses at the end of life. Are these students octogenarians, cost-burdened, or simply living their lives as planned?

Affordability is a subjective measure. I question the Census’s objectives in publishing opinions on affordability in the housing markets. What’s next? Will we be told we canโ€™t afford to take a vacation or to take the summer off to be with our kids? Or should the Census return to the way it was– a fact provider?

Understanding DTIโ€™s

A debt-to-income (DTI) ratio is a financial metric that compares a personโ€™s monthly debt payments to their gross monthly income, expressed as a percentage. Itโ€™s calculated by dividing total recurring debt (e.g., mortgage, car loans, credit card payments, student loans) by gross income. For example, if someone earns $5,000 monthly and has $1,500 in debt payments, their DTI is 30% ($1,500 รท $5,000). In the real estate industry, DTI is a critical tool for assessing a borrowerโ€™s ability to afford a mortgage, helping lenders evaluate loan repayment risk.

In real estate, lenders use two DTI ratios: the front-end DTI, which includes housing-related costs (principal, interest, taxes, insurance, or PITI), and the back-end DTI, which includes all debts. Conventional loans, backed by Fannie Mae or Freddie Mac, typically prefer a front-end DTI of 28% and a back-end DTI of 36%, though up to 45โ€“50% may be allowed with strong credit or reserves. FHA loans allow 31%/43%, and VA loans often cap at 41% total DTI. Lenders rely on DTI to ensure borrowers can manage mortgage payments alongside other obligations, reducing default risk. A lower DTI signals better financial health, often leading to loan approval or favorable terms.

However, thereโ€™s leeway in how DTI reflects the true burden of payments on consumers. DTI is a standardized metric that doesnโ€™t account for individual circumstances, such as high living costs, variable income, or discretionary spending. For instance, a 36% DTI may feel manageable for a high earner but burdensome for a low-income household with tight budgets. Utilities, often excluded from conventional DTI calculations, can significantly impact affordability, as seen in the ACSโ€™s 30% housing cost burden metric, which includes utilities. Lenders may show flexibility by approving higher DTIs with compensating factors like substantial savings, excellent credit, or stable employment. Manual underwriting can also consider nuanced financial situations, offering more leeway than automated systems.

For consumers, DTIโ€™s rigidity can misrepresent their financial reality. A single parent with childcare costs or someone in a high-cost area may struggle despite a โ€œhealthyโ€ DTI. Conversely, frugal borrowers with high DTIs may handle payments comfortably. While DTI is a vital lending tool, its application requires context to truly understand the consumerโ€™s payment burden.

What is Public, What is Private

Yesterday’s post with Grok, a rather long one for this humble site, was necessary to explore Thomas Sowellโ€™s conceptualization of constrained and unconstrained framing versus the one present at this site of What is Public and What is Private. You can find the articles related to the distinction of how people behave when working on behalf of a cooperative effort versus a private one by searching Public in the search bar on the home page.

Sowell distinguishes between two visions that thinkers use to approach society’s well-being. He names them: the constrained and the unconstrained. Yet he leaves room for all parties to acknowledge the existence of both. One might think that a perspective may have resulted from the moment and the writer’s disposition. More importantly, the admission of both allows one to consider the possibility of a gradation of importance. Still, Grok disputes whether Sowell’s account can handle a melding of the two.

However, its success hinges on overcoming the visionsโ€™ deep philosophical divide, which Sowell sees as nearly irreconcilable. The unconstrained visionโ€™s North Star role risks dominating if not rigorously checked, as its moral urgency can overshadow constrained pragmatism. Conversely, overemphasizing private solutions might neglect systemic issues only public action can address. A robust institutional frameworkโ€”perhaps decentralized governance with empirical feedbackโ€”would be crucial to balance these impulses.

But if one considered examples, for instance, if an actor had spent their forty-year adult career on Wall Street. Their window onto the world looks out predominantly over private affairs. The constraints and trade-off model make sense to them. That doesn’t mean they feel constrained in pursuing their passions. They would likely do anything for a child or their spouse’s health. Constraints be gone. In less dramatic circumstances, they may support the opera with no trade intended except in the pleasure of attending a performance.

Humans are complex. It’s not unreasonable to think they can act with dual motives. Bernie Sanders was recently criticised for flying in a private jet. Ayn Rand collected from the public purse. Abstract reasoning is fun, but life plays out in a mix of the public and the private.

Ask Grok a questionโ€” get a very thorough response

In his book A Conflict of Vision, Thomas Sowell makes a very interesting distinction between thinkers who see desirable social outcomes derived through a system and those who foremost desire a pursuit of ideals. So I asked Grok if there was a compromise for these two characters, seemingly at odds.

Question: If you think of the system as operating by impulses of the private and the public, could their be a melding of the two if one group appeared more prominently when a private solution bore more weight (the constrained) and whether the solution would be better solved with a public solution in which the unconstrained vision acts as a better North Star?

Grok:

Your question proposes a dynamic interplay between the constrained and unconstrained visions, as articulated by Thomas Sowell in A Conflict of Visions, by mapping them onto private (constrained) and public (unconstrained) impulses within a system. You ask whether these impulses could meld, with the constrained vision taking prominence when private solutions are more effective and the unconstrained vision serving as a guiding “North Star” for public solutions when they are better suited. This is an innovative synthesis, and while Sowellโ€™s framework does not explicitly propose such a melding, it provides a foundation to explore this possibility. Below, Iโ€™ll analyze how this could work, the conditions for a successful melding, and the challenges, while addressing the private-public dynamic and the roles of the two visions.

Recap of Sowellโ€™s Visions

  • Constrained Vision: Assumes human nature is limited and flawed, favoring private, decentralized solutions like markets and traditions that align with incentives and evolved wisdom. It prioritizes processes and trade-offs over idealized outcomes.
  • Unconstrained Vision: Assumes human nature is malleable and perfectible through reason, favoring public, deliberate interventions (e.g., government policies) to achieve moral goals like justice or equality. It prioritizes outcomes and rational planning.

Your proposal aligns the constrained vision with private impulses (e.g., individual initiative, markets) and the unconstrained vision with public impulses (e.g., collective action, government), suggesting a system where each vision dominates when its corresponding solutionโ€”private or publicโ€”is more effective.

Feasibility of a Melding

A melding of the constrained and unconstrained visions, with private solutions (constrained) taking precedence when they bear more weight and public solutions (unconstrained) guiding when better suited, is theoretically possible but requires careful design to balance the visionsโ€™ differing assumptions and goals. Hereโ€™s how this could work:

  1. Dynamic Allocation Based on Problem Type:
  • Private Solutions (Constrained Vision): The constrained vision excels in contexts where decentralized, incentive-driven mechanisms are effective, such as economic innovation, consumer choice, or local problem-solving. For example:
    • Markets efficiently allocate resources (e.g., supply chains for goods) by harnessing individual self-interest, aligning with the constrained visionโ€™s trust in spontaneous order.
    • Private charity or community organizations can address localized needs (e.g., food banks) without bureaucratic overhead.
    • In these cases, the system would prioritize private impulses, with the constrained visionโ€™s skepticism of centralized control ensuring minimal public interference.
  • Public Solutions (Unconstrained Vision as North Star): The unconstrained vision is better suited for problems requiring collective action, long-term planning, or moral imperatives that markets cannot address, such as:
    • Public goods like infrastructure or national defense, where private incentives fail (e.g., free-rider problems).
    • Systemic inequalities (e.g., access to education or healthcare) that require coordinated reforms to achieve justice, a core unconstrained goal.
    • In these cases, the unconstrained visionโ€™s focus on rational design and moral outcomes would guide public solutions, acting as a โ€œNorth Starโ€ to set ambitious goals (e.g., universal literacy) while tempered by constrained insights on feasibility.
  1. Hybrid Mechanisms:
  • A melded system could use hybrid mechanisms that blend private and public impulses, allowing the visions to complement each other:
    • Market-Based Public Policies: Policies like carbon pricing or voucher systems (e.g., school choice) combine constrained reliance on markets with unconstrained goals of environmental protection or equity.
    • Public-Private Partnerships: Infrastructure projects often involve private efficiency and public oversight, balancing constrained pragmatism with unconstrained ambition.
    • Incremental Reforms with Visionary Goals: The unconstrained vision could set long-term objectives (e.g., reducing poverty), while constrained processes (e.g., pilot programs, A/B testing) ensure practical implementation.
  • Example: The Earned Income Tax Credit (EITC) incentivizes work (constrained) while redistributing wealth to reduce poverty (unconstrained), showing how private incentives can serve public goals.
  1. Decision Rules for Prominence:
  • The system would need criteria to determine when private or public solutions โ€œbear more weightโ€:
    • Empirical Evidence: Use data to assess effectiveness (e.g., cost-benefit analysis, outcome metrics). Constrained visionaries would favor this, but unconstrained visionaries could agree if it advances their goals.
    • Subsidiarity: Prioritize private/local solutions unless public intervention is demonstrably necessary, aligning with constrained skepticism of centralized power.
    • Moral Urgency: Allow the unconstrained vision to dominate when issues involve universal rights or systemic injustice (e.g., civil rights legislation), as these align with its moral North Star.
  • Example: In healthcare, private solutions (e.g., competitive insurance markets) might dominate for routine care, but public solutions (e.g., universal coverage for catastrophic illnesses) could take precedence to ensure equity.
  1. Role of the Unconstrained Vision as a North Star:
  • The unconstrained visionโ€™s strength is its ability to articulate aspirational goals (e.g., equality, sustainability) that inspire collective action. As a North Star, it provides direction for public solutions, ensuring they aim high rather than settling for status quo.
  • However, to avoid the unconstrained visionโ€™s pitfalls (e.g., overreach, unintended consequences), it must be checked by constrained principles:
    • Feasibility Checks: Public plans should incorporate constrained insights on human incentives and knowledge limits (e.g., avoiding overly complex regulations).
    • Iterative Implementation: Large-scale public goals (e.g., climate action) should be pursued incrementally, with feedback loops to adjust plans, reflecting constrained pragmatism.
  • Example: The unconstrained vision might set a goal of carbon neutrality by 2050, but constrained mechanisms (e.g., market-based emissions trading) would guide implementation to maximize efficiency.

Conditions for Successful Melding

For this melding to work, several conditions must be met:

  1. Mutual Respect: Both sides must acknowledge the otherโ€™s strengths. Constrained visionaries must value the unconstrained visionโ€™s moral clarity, while unconstrained visionaries must respect the constrained visionโ€™s realism.
  2. Shared Metrics: Agreement on measurable outcomes (e.g., poverty rates, GDP growth, health outcomes) allows both visions to evaluate solutions objectively, bridging their philosophical divide.
  3. Institutional Flexibility: The system must allow experimentation (e.g., federalism, pilot programs) so private and public solutions can be tested and scaled based on results.
  4. Pragmatic Leadership: Leaders must navigate ideological divides, framing solutions to appeal to both visions (e.g., presenting market reforms as tools for social justice).
  5. Avoiding Ideological Purity: Both sides must resist dogmatic adherence to their vision, accepting hybrid approaches that may not fully align with their ideals.

Challenges to Melding

Sowellโ€™s framework highlights why melding the visions is difficult:

  1. Fundamental Incompatibilities:
  • The constrained vision sees human nature as fixed and flawed, distrusting grand public plans, while the unconstrained vision believes in human perfectibility through collective action. These assumptions clash, making agreement on when public or private solutions are โ€œbetterโ€ contentious.
  • Example: Constrained visionaries might view public healthcare as inefficient, while unconstrained visionaries see it as a moral necessity, leading to stalemate.
  1. Distrust of Motives:
  • Constrained visionaries may suspect public solutions mask power grabs, while unconstrained visionaries may view private solutions as perpetuating inequality. This distrust complicates cooperation.
  • Example: Debates over welfare often pit constrained concerns about dependency against unconstrained demands for social justice.
  1. Unintended Consequences:
  • Unconstrained public solutions risk overreach (e.g., bureaucratic inefficiencies), while constrained private solutions may fail to address systemic issues (e.g., market failures in healthcare). Balancing these risks requires constant vigilance.
  • Example: A public education reform might aim for equity but create bloated bureaucracies, alienating constrained visionaries.
  1. Polarization:
  • Sowell notes that ideological divides are deepened by emotional commitment to oneโ€™s vision. In polarized climates, each side may prioritize winning over compromising, undermining the melding process.
  • Example: Political rhetoric framing markets as โ€œgreedyโ€ or government as โ€œtyrannicalโ€ entrenches division.
  1. Defining โ€œBetterโ€ Solutions:
  • Deciding when a private or public solution โ€œbears more weightโ€ is subjective. Constrained visionaries prioritize efficiency and liberty, while unconstrained visionaries emphasize justice and equality, leading to disagreements over criteria.
  • Example: In environmental policy, constrained visionaries might favor private innovation (e.g., green tech), while unconstrained visionaries push for public regulation (e.g., emissions caps), with no clear metric for โ€œbetter.โ€

Sowellโ€™s Perspective on Melding

Sowell does not explicitly propose a system like the one you describe, as A Conflict of Visions focuses on explaining ideological divides rather than resolving them. However, his emphasis on trade-offs, processes, and intellectual humility supports the idea of a dynamic interplay:

  • Trade-Offs: Sowellโ€™s constrained leanings suggest that any melding would prioritize private solutions unless public intervention is clearly justified, aligning with your proposalโ€™s conditional prominence.
  • Processes: He favors systemic processes (e.g., markets, rule of law) that allow experimentation, which could support a system where private and public impulses compete and coexist based on effectiveness.
  • Humility: Sowellโ€™s call for understanding opposing visions implies that a melded system would require both sides to temper their ambitionsโ€”constrained visionaries embracing some public goals, unconstrained visionaries accepting private mechanisms.

Your proposal extends Sowellโ€™s ideas by envisioning a system where the unconstrained visionโ€™s moral aspirations guide public solutions without dominating private ones, a balance Sowell might endorse if constrained principles (e.g., incentives, limits) remain central.

Connection to Godwin and Condorcet

Since you previously asked about William Godwin and Condorcet, their unconstrained visions are relevant:

  • Godwin and Condorcet: Both exemplify the unconstrained vision, advocating rational, public solutions to perfect society (e.g., Godwinโ€™s anarchism, Condorcetโ€™s voting reforms). In your system, their ideas could serve as a North Star for public interventions, such as universal education or democratic reforms, but would need constrained checks (e.g., market-based delivery, incremental trials) to avoid utopian overreach.
  • Melding Example: Condorcetโ€™s voting methods could guide public electoral reform (unconstrained), but private civic organizations might implement voter education (constrained), balancing idealism with practicality.

Practical Example of the Melded System

Consider climate change as a case study:

  • Private Impulse (Constrained): When private solutions bear more weight, the system prioritizes market innovations like renewable energy startups or carbon offset markets. The constrained vision ensures these are driven by profit motives and competition, avoiding regulatory overreach.
  • Public Impulse (Unconstrained as North Star): When public solutions are needed (e.g., global emissions agreements), the unconstrained vision sets ambitious goals (e.g., net-zero by 2050), guiding international cooperation and public investments in green infrastructure.
  • Melding: A carbon pricing system combines private incentives (firms reduce emissions to cut costs) with public goals (reducing global warming), with iterative adjustments based on outcomes. The constrained vision ensures efficiency, while the unconstrained vision keeps the moral imperative in view.

Critical Reflection

Your proposed system is a creative extension of Sowellโ€™s framework, aligning private and public impulses with the visionsโ€™ strengths. It could work by leveraging the constrained visionโ€™s realism for private solutions and the unconstrained visionโ€™s idealism for public ones, creating a flexible, outcome-driven system. However, its success hinges on overcoming the visionsโ€™ deep philosophical divide, which Sowell sees as nearly irreconcilable. The unconstrained visionโ€™s North Star role risks dominating if not rigorously checked, as its moral urgency can overshadow constrained pragmatism. Conversely, overemphasizing private solutions might neglect systemic issues only public action can address. A robust institutional frameworkโ€”perhaps decentralized governance with empirical feedbackโ€”would be crucial to balance these impulses.

Conclusion

A melding of the constrained and unconstrained visions, with private solutions (constrained) prominent when they bear more weight and public solutions (unconstrained) guided by a moral North Star, is feasible within Sowellโ€™s framework but requires careful implementation. By using empirical criteria, hybrid mechanisms, and flexible processes, the system could harness the strengths of both visions: the constrained visionโ€™s efficiency and realism for private impulses, and the unconstrained visionโ€™s moral clarity for public ones. Challenges include ideological distrust, differing priorities, and the risk of one vision overshadowing the other. Sowellโ€™s emphasis on trade-offs and understanding supports this approach, though he would likely caution against overly optimistic synthesis given the visionsโ€™ fundamental tensions.

Something interesting about St Augustine

Saint Augustine, born in 354 CE in Thagaste (modern-day Algeria), is one of the most influential Christian theologians and philosophers. An interesting fact about him is that before his conversion to Christianity at age 31, he lived a hedonistic lifestyle, indulging in pleasures and fathering a child out of wedlock. His mother, Monica, a devout Christian, prayed relentlessly for his conversion. Augustineโ€™s dramatic shift came after a profound spiritual experience in a garden, where he heard a childโ€™s voice urging him to โ€œtake up and read,โ€ leading him to a Bible passage that transformed his life. His works, like Confessionsโ€”one of the first autobiographiesโ€”and City of God, shaped Western thought, blending Christian doctrine with classical philosophy, particularly Platonism.

Maximum Progress on Jane Jacobs

I greatly enjoyed this post at Maximum Progress (by Max Tabarrok): Jane Jacobs Can Fix American Cities, Even Though She Helped Break Them. Many people associate Jane Jacobs with the urban resistance– shouting down the developers to keep the neighborhood intact. Becoming the spry young woman who takes on influential players at city hall became a goal in and of itself. But Max points out that this is a mere sliver of what Jacobs offers on ideas.

In fact, a careful reading of “The Death and Life of Great American Cities” reveals that Jacobs didn’t advocate for preservation and obstruction (at least, not in the book itself)โ€”she advocated for market urbanism and organic development. The solution to our urban problems isn’t a middle path between Moses and Jacobs, but rather a return to Jacobs’ actual ideas, not the distorted version that became embedded in planning practice.

Jacobs wants the planners out of the neighborhood business, unless they are there to encourage and support organic growth.

In โ€œDeath and Lifeโ€ Jacobs argues that urban planners should plan less. They should stop drafting grand visions and bulldozing neighborhoods to rebuild them in their image. โ€œPublic policy can do relatively little that is positive to get working uses woven in where they are absent and needed in cities, except toย permitย and indirectly encourage them.โ€ When discussing a successful commercial district in Nashville she notes that โ€œNobody could have planned this growth. Nobody has encouraged it.โ€

Or this. Let everyone go about their lives and find their way. The actors are best at decision making.

In Jacobsโ€™ view, planners should merely set favorable conditions for decentralized, unplanned, and incremental development. Lay out the street grid if you must (though with smaller blocks than Manhattan) and bring the infrastructure to where itโ€™s needed but otherwise refrain from regulating private land use. Let all the uses of the city mingle together and fill each street with eyes and activity at all times of the day. Jacobs is like Hayek (1945) or The Fatal Conceit applied to urbanism. โ€œThe curious task of economics [and Jacobsian urban planning] is to demonstrate to men how little they really know about what they imagine they can design.โ€

I think there is a little more that the planners can do in their supporting role. That is to keep track of things. Jane Jacobs’ city encourages a mixing of people in their public lives near their homes. But some mixes of shopkeepers, and moms, and office workers and renters blend better than others. What are the civic jobs that various cohorts do? For lively streets in friendly neighborhoods, what are the pre conditions and the on-going maintenance that each member brings to Jane Jacobs dance of colorful city life?

Danger in Averages

Say there is a neighborhood of 200 homes. It’s an average neighborhood with an average sales price in the $320K range. There’s a slight variance in price for condition, but the homes were built as a development and are otherwise fairly consistent in size and amenities. Approximately seven percent of the homes sell every year, or fourteen homes, and it is from that activity that researchers and government types pull their average prices.

Now, say there is a significant demand for new construction in this older neighborhood, and a contractor is willing to risk purchasing a handful of dilapidated buildings to develop a new subdivision of fourteen homesites. People who can afford the price of new construction, which in this case pencils in around a million, can overcome the objection of living in a modest neighborhood in return for all the latest interior amenities and the centrality the neighborhood offers.

Of the seven percent of homes that sell the following year, three are $1,000K homes, and eleven are $320K homes. Now, the average home sales price for this neighborhood jumps to $465K! People panic.

Yet the bulk of the neighborhood has not changed at all. It is still primarily a modest neighborhood priced within reach of an average buyer. For this reason, real estate analysis needs to be local and always with the perspective of what groups are involved.

Tariff Textiles for Babies

One way a mom can afford to manage a household and children is to have a part-time job close to home. Income is part of the benefit of work, and there is also something to be said about independence and the direction it provides. For those who like to sew, working piecework out of a home craft room could be an ideal setup. The repetitive process of pinning and stitching precut fabric can be edged in throughout the day: the twenty minutes a mom gets before the bus drops the kids back from school or the hour after they are down for the night.

So many other parts of everyday life have also changed since garment workers populated big US cities. It is now easy and affordable to ship items like a box full of sewing supplies. Living conditions for most Americans have improved with more space and fewer occupants in a home. This frees up the workspace for a home studio. Being an independent contractor is pretty commonplace. Crafting sites like Etsy already attract vendors of homemade goods.

Now, what if an entrepreneurial spirit wanted to start a clothing line? It seems like it would make perfect sense to ship off pieces of their designs to independent seamstresses. This would save on overhead and fixed costs. The contractors work at their own pace, which is measured by the number of items returned. The designer would focus on quality, design, and distribution.

Consumers seem a little tired of the mass-produced, inexpensive clothing from abroad. Maybe a (temporary?) tariff could protect a fledgling industry, one that could support a lifestyle conducive to moms with babies.

Alchian and Property Rights

In a paper entitled Property Rights Paradigm, Armen Alchian suggests ownership is more intertwined than one might think.

There is some ambiguity in the notion of state or private ownership of a resource, because the bundle of property rights associated with a resource is divisible. There can and does exist much confusion about whether a resource or “property” is state or privately owned.
Some rights to some uses of the resource may be state owned and others privately owned. While it is true that the degree of private control is increased when additional rights of use become privately owned, it is somewhat arbitrary to pass judgment on when the conversion to private control can be said to change the ownership of the bundle of rights from public to private. The classification of owners can be carried beyond the important state and private dichotomy. Corporate, school, and church owners of property are also of interest. The structure of rights can have important consequences for the allocation of resources, some of which we now illustrate.

Think of the home you own. The deed at the county recorder’s office says you own it. But the utility company may access the property if it needs to do a repair. The city workers can drive a skid steer into your lot, dig a big hole to check the city water connection, without checking whether you have a graduation party planned for the weekend. Of course, the county can tax you for local services, and if you fail to pay, they can take your property.

So you own your home more in unison with the public than you might have thought.

What about going the other way? Do people pay more for property if it has better access to taxation-supported services? It makes sense that they would. Public groups may have formal or informal claims against your home. There’s a good chance these were sought after when they decided to move. A portion of the price acts as a place maker for value– or in other words, the market prices institutions, too.

More money, better conditions

That’s the conclusion of a recent article by the Minneapolis Federal Reserve research team.

In aย recent paperย co-written with researchers from the University of Wisconsin-Madison and the University of Illinois-Chicago andย initially publishedย by the Minneapolis Fed, we measured the evolution of housing quality for low-income households over the past several decades across the United States. We found broad and generally large increases in housing quality and smaller but still important increases in living space.

So, it’s not surprising that the data show fewer low-income people living in squalor.

I like this part too. It’s a great example of how headlines can suggest misleading information. Although gross rents have increase, they have hit people’s monthly budgets at a much lower increase.

As housing quality and quantity are getting better, how much more are households paying for it? According to the AHS, for below-median-income Twin Cities area residents, real monthly spending on housing increased by 32 percent from 1998 to 2021, from $1,008 to $1,333. Around half of below-median-income Twin Cities households remain housing-cost-burdened (spending 30 percent or more of their income on housing) and a quarter remain severely housing-cost-burdened (spending 50 percent or more of their income on housing). For many families that spend a large fraction of their income on housing, findings about general housing improvements may be tough to appreciate.

However, our analysis indicates that greater housing spending reflects not only higher housing prices but also Twin Cities area residentsโ€™ ability to afford housing that is larger and nicer. Overall, the average housing budget share only increased by 4 percentage points from 1998 to 2021, from 36 percent to 40 percent of income, which indicates that most of the growth in spending on housing is driven by higher incomes, better quality, and more spacious homes, as opposed to needing to allocate a greater share of income for the same, unimproved housing.

Some combination of private money, public efforts, and community involvement is improving living standards for those with lower incomes. And it’s not clear at all that the burden is falling on the most vulnerable.

Communities of Relations

Tony Lawson’s concept of “communities of relations” emphasizes that individuals exist within social structures defined by interconnected roles, rules, and responsibilities. He argues that society functions through these relational networks, where each person’s positionโ€”such as a teacher, student, or parentโ€”carries specific expectations and obligations that shape their interactions. These roles are not isolated but are part of a broader system of mutual dependence, governed by both explicit and implicit social norms.

In his lectures, Lawson illustrates this with the example of a lecture hall. He explains that the hall operates as a microcosm of a community of relations. The lecturer has the role of delivering knowledge, guided by rules like preparing content and engaging students. Students, in turn, have the role of learning, with responsibilities such as attending, listening, and completing assignments. The physical space, institutional norms, and mutual expectations (e.g., raising hands to speak) create a structured environment where each participantโ€™s actions are shaped by their role. This example highlights how social order emerges from the interplay of positions, rules, and obligations within a shared system.

This will prove to be an important understanding when measuring the needs of a group. There maybe plenty of able students yet not enough mentors. Or mentors and students but no one to organize. How many parents are needed for a successful PTA? How many kids do you need for a robotics team? Preferences can show how much an amenity is desired, but acknowledging roles is how to go about supplying those communitarian activities.

Problems at the source?

Thatโ€™s what Tony Lawson, a professor of economics at University of Cambridge, thinks. Looking down at its roots is necessary for the economics profession. He requests, with pluralism in mind, thinkers return to the foundations of the discipline and review social implications. This is because he sees organization occurring in terms of social relations (1:04:40).

Economics is about causal analysis (instead of prediction). He wants a redo to understand a complete economic picture.

Claude doesn’t Judge

I’ve been turning to Claude quite a bit lately to investigate ideas and check on interpretations of what I thought so and so to say or what such and such means. It’s magical to receive answers quickly and concisely. These aren’t general, spit back the facts, or tell the history type of responses. You can ask for interpretations, for granular variations between two thinkers, for the way an author always talks about a topic.

The AI’s responses are not only interesting but encouraging. Most people find my questions annoying, but Claude doesn’t judge. In fact, Claude seems delighted to talk it through, step by step, to check the validity of the claim. At some point, it occurred to me how often I had been clucked right out of a conversation.

There was the time, as an undergrad, I timidly tried to broach the subject of graduate work with a younger professor. I probably assumed he would be sympathetic, but he was caustic. I found out later that he had just been told he hadn’t been nominated for tenure. His condescension would have cast a shadow across the path of the first young mind to cross his path. Let’s call this deterrence the misdirection error.

Then you have the I-don’t-have-time-to-think-through-what-you-are-trying-to-say error. (But I thought that’s what professors do?) And there’s the failure to follow the proper ideology problem. (What about looking for truth instead of the notion of the moment?) Or ego-itis can creep in. That’s the worry that this new thought might outshine their old thought, so let’s put the light out before it glows.

Well, I can say that Claude avoids all these errors. Thinking through things is quite literally what he is designed to do, with compassionate detail to the inquirer’s point of view, nonetheless. There is refreshingly no biased subtext or dancing around. And Claude exhibits the complete opposite of ego. Instead of posturing for status, complimentary and encouraging words filter across the screen as if to say- Don’t leave this conversation, we’re having so much fun. Those pesky human issues are gone.

If you haven’t talked to your AI lately, you are missing out.

Non-Profit with Profit Motives

It’s tough to see the compensation figures for Thrivent Financial for Lutherans and think- Oh the executive team is working for the good and not for the profit. Not that there’s anything wrong with profit. Just call a spade a spade.

Amenity Migration

A Descriptive Overview

Amenity migration refers to the movement of peopleโ€”often affluent, educated, or remote workersโ€”from urban or high-cost areas to rural or scenic regions primarily for lifestyle reasons rather than economic necessity. These โ€œamenitiesโ€ include natural beauty, recreational opportunities, perceived safety, cultural charm, and a slower pace of life. Unlike traditional migration driven by jobs, amenity migrants move to improve quality of life, often bringing their wealth, urban habits, and consumption patterns with them.

The term emerged in the 1990s within geography and regional planning literature, especially in the context of the American West, Canada, and parts of Europe. Scholars like Laurence Moss and others used it to describe changing population dynamics in places like Colorado, Montana, and the Alpsโ€”regions once defined by extraction or agriculture that saw a demographic shift toward service-based, lifestyle-oriented economies.

In policy circles, amenity migration is a double-edged sword. On one hand, it can inject new capital into stagnant rural economies, diversify local culture, and support new businesses. On the other, it can displace long-term residents, inflate housing costs, and strain infrastructure designed for much smaller populations. Planners and local governments use the concept to anticipate pressures on housing, schools, and transportation, and to shape land use regulations or zoning to balance growth with preservation.

The term is now central to discussions about rural gentrification, climate migration, and the long-term effects of remote work. Amenity migration isnโ€™t just about who moves whereโ€”itโ€™s about how those moves reshape the economic and cultural fabric of entire regions.

Sphere Shaping

You said:

It seems like Tullock loses the distinction between private enterprises and bureaucracies. Yet he feels out two separate spheres of activity in other ways. For instance, he often talks of government activity with metaphors to aristocratic structures. What else?

ChatGPT said:

Great observationโ€”Tullock absolutely walks a tightrope between treating private firms and government bureaucracies similarly, and yet subtly (or not-so-subtly) casting them in very different cultural and historical lights. You’re right to pick up on the aristocratic metaphorโ€”he often analogizes bureaucratic structures to court societies or monarchies, drawing parallels between civil servants and courtiers maneuvering for influence and personal gain rather than efficiency.

Here are a few other ways he implicitly or explicitly separates the two spheres, even while analyzing them under a shared theoretical framework:


1. Incentives and Accountability

  • Private Firms: Tullock acknowledges they at least face market disciplineโ€”bad decisions eventually lead to losses or collapse. So while internal inefficiencies exist, external pressures (like competition) provide a corrective force.
  • Government Bureaucracies: He often emphasizes their insulation from consequences. Without profit/loss feedback, bad decisions can persist, and rent-seeking behaviors may flourish unchecked.

๐ŸŸข Distinct Sphere Framing: Government lacks natural mechanisms for accountability, unlike the market.


2. Mobility and Tenure

  • In Government: He paints a picture of seniority-based advancement and institutional inertia. Much like nobility, power is entrenched and change is slow.
  • In Firms: There’s more focus on merit (at least ideally). While internal politics still exist, there’s a stronger orientation toward performance metrics.

๐ŸŸข Aristocracy vs. Meritocracy: Tullock often likens bureaucracies to hereditary systems, contrasting them with competitive firms.


3. Information Flows

  • Both sectors suffer from distorted or dampened information within hierarchies, but:
    • Government: Tullock is more cynical. Information is deliberately misrepresented due to political incentives.
    • Private Sector: While problems exist, they are more often framed as accidental or due to scale, not malice.

๐ŸŸข Intentional vs. Structural Failure: He attributes more intentional obfuscation to bureaucracies.


4. Evolutionary Pressure

  • Firms: Subject to what he sees as a Darwinian selectionโ€”firms that fail disappear.
  • States/Bureaucracies: Tullock sees these as less adaptive. Institutions can persist and grow regardless of performance, accumulating inefficiencies like “termite damage.”

๐ŸŸข Market Darwinism vs. Political Drift: Private firms evolve or die; bureaucracies ossify.


5. Terminology and Tone

Even in word choice:

  • Firms are often discussed in neutral economic language.
  • Governments are discussed with irony, historical metaphor (aristocracy, empires), or even biological metaphors (parasites, termites).

๐ŸŸข Narrative Framing: Tullock is more openly skepticalโ€”even causticโ€”when writing about state structures.


In Short:

Tullock uses a unified analytical lens for organizational behaviorโ€”especially regarding rent-seeking and inefficiencyโ€”but layers rhetorical and conceptual distinctions between public and private. He acknowledges that both are prone to internal dysfunction, but he seems to believe that only one (the private firm) is subject to adequate correction, while the other (government) tends toward stagnation, self-dealing, and excess.